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Saturday, November 15, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Eleven

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With week 11 already here, it's time for fantasy owners to submit their lineups. With the fantasy playoffs looking fantasy owners in the eye, every week becomes more important than the last and each decision becomes more scrutinized. If you need help setting your lineups for the week, continue reading. If you don't need help, continue reading anyway for confirmation on your lineup decisions.

Quarterback

Fine- Tom Brady- New England Patriots- When the Patriots meet the Colts on Sunday night, there will be plenty of points to go around and Tom Brady has been on fire since the blowout in Kansas City. Since week five, Brady has scored more than 20 fantasy points per game since week five and is averaging over 23 fantasy points per game on the season. The Colts defense is allowing almost 19 fantasy points per game to the quarterback so Tom Brady should have no problem picking up where he left off before his bye.

Pine- Drew Stanton- Arizona Cardinals- Some fantasy owners may be in a position to start Stanton due to the Carson Palmer injury or bye week fill in but his week 11 matchup isn't favorable. The Cardinals face the Lions and the Detroit defense is allowing a fantasy best 13.1 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While Stanton has filled in admirably in the absence of Palmer this season, he hasn't been fantasy relevant. He's averaging just over 11 fantasy points per game and hasn't scored more than 8.6 fantasy points other than his only double digit fantasy points game in week three.

Running Back

Fine- Alfred Morris- Washington Redskins- With the return of Robert Griffin III, the Washington ground game should get a boost  this week especially facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who allow over 26 fantasy points per game to the running back position. Alfred Morris is averaging 11.5 fantasy points per game and has scored double digit fantasy points in back to back games in week eight and nine and should have no problem posting another double digit fantasy point game this week against the Buccaneers.

Pine- Tre Mason- St. Louis Rams- The Denver Broncos defense is allowing the ninth least amount of fantasy points to the running back position and Tre Mason is only averaging 7.4 fantasy points per game and has not posted a double digit fantasy points game since week seven. Couple that with the fact the Rams are going to have to pass a lot to keep up with the Broncos offense and Mason isn't primed for a good fantasy game in week 11.

Wide Receiver


Fine- DeSean Jackson- Washington Redskins- It's time to once again to pick on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this week by making sure D-Jax is in your lineups.The Buccaneers are allowing the second most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers at 44.4. Jackson is averaging over 11 fantasy points per game and is coming off of back to back double digit fantasy points games in weeks eight and nine. He has too tempting of a matchup in week 11 to leave out of your starting lineups.

Pine- Michael Floyd- Arizona Cardinals- Until further notice, Floyd cannot be trusted to start each week. His matchup isn't going to do him any favors facing the Lions who are tied for allowing the least amount of fantasy points to opposing wide outs along with the Patriots. Floyd has not posted a double digit fantasy points game since week seven and since that game has scored zero fantasy points in week eight, 3.6 fantasy points in week nine and 1.1 fantasy points in week ten. He hasn't received more than five targets since week six and has all but completely fallen off of fantasy radars.

Tight End

Fine- Mychal Rivera- Oakland Raiders- Even though the Chargers are allowing the fourth least amount of fantasy points to opposing tight ends, Mychal Rivera has been on quite a roll with back to back double digit fantasy points games the last two weeks. Since week eight, Rivera has seen nine targets, eleven targets and eight targets. That many targets is bound to lead to fantasy production.

Pine- Vernon Davis- San Francisco 49ers- By averaging just over 4 fantasy points per game, fantasy owners can't trust VD to contribute too much to fantasy rosters this week or any week after. Davis hasn't seen more than six targets this season and that was back in week six. His opponent for the week, the New York Giants are in the top ten in defending the tight end. Fantasy owners better hope they have a better option in week 11 than Vernon Davis.

D/ST

Fine- Denver Broncos- With the Broncos facing the Rams this week, there's not much doubt that the Denver defense will be tops in fantasy. The Broncos defense is allowing 20 fantasy points to the opposing quarterback and the Rams are starting Shaun Hill over Austin Davis. The Broncos defense should feast on the Rams offense this Sunday.

Pine- Philadelphia Eagles- While the Eagles defense may have won fantasy owners their week last week, it will be difficult for fantasy owners to trust the Philadelphia defense in week eleven when they face Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. Rodgers is averaging 26.4 fantasy points per game and has scored over 20 fantasy points per week the last four games and at least 25 fantasy points in the last six games. The Eagles defense will have their work cut out for them this week.