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Monday, February 27, 2017

Things I Think I Think (AL Edition)

Boston Red Sox:   I think it's strange that they are collecting amazing lefthanded SP's.  Shouldn't they be getting righties in Fenway?  Aren't you begging Matt Holliday to pepper the monster?  Mebbe not, cause those guys are awful good.  I just think sometimes.

New York Yankees:  I think Holliday is under-rated this year.  Bad BABIP luck last year.  He'll go for a .300 BA and 22-ish dingers.

Baltimore Orioles: I think Dylan Bundy was awesome for that first stretch last year and then sort of wore down.  I think he's going to be stronger this year and I think he's going to start throwing the cutter again.  Why does that matter?  It's only his best pitch, if you're into that sort of thing.

AL East:  I think the offenses for the Yankees, Red Sox, and Blue Jays are all over-rated.  Who do they have that really scares you?  Okay, Mookie Betts and Josh Donaldson are awesome.  Truth.  HanRam's pretty good too, but that lineup in Boston from top-to-bottom isn't really all that.  And the Yankees?  Is Didi Gregorius their best hitter?  (Okay, it's probably Gary Sanchez... but do we really know?)  And Toronto?  I think it looks really different without E5 and Bautista doing a bad impersonation of himself.  Seriously, look at these projected lineups.

Texas Rangers:  I think Yu Darvish will win the AL Cy Young Award.  He's going off the board at pick #40, so clearly he is still a highly valued SP but I don't think most people realize just how good he is.  Maybe his value is obscured a bit by missing a year and a half in 2015-16 or maybe it's his just pretty good 3.41 ERA and low quantitative stats in just 100.1 IP last year.  But listen, folks, Darvish is back.  In 2016 he posted an incredible 11.8 K/9, a 3.09 FIP, and a WHIP of 1.116... and I think he's even better and stronger this year.  What if he gets you 20 wins, a 3.00 ERA, a WHIP of 1.10, and 280 K's?  He's worth more than pick #40, that's what.

Seattle Mariners:  I think we'll get surprise production from their outfield.  Dyson as a full-timer?  60 SB's??

Tampa Bay Rays:  I think their staff is a little over-rated.  I got burned by Archer last year.  Odorizzi might be the value here with a strong WHIP.  Snell is like the anti-Odorizzi though... Can he limit the baserunners in his age 24 season?

Chicago White Sox:  I think we somehow get closer value from Nate Jones this year.  Maybe earlier than you think.  He's worth an endgame flyer on a deep squad.

Minnesota Twins:  I think Byron Buxton has shown us what he is.  He's the Matt Wieters of outfielders.  Move along, move along.

Cleveland Indians:  I think Michael Brantley is still only 30, has a career OPS+ of 113, led the league in doubles when he was last healthy, and is currently taking full-force BP.  Wait, I think those are all things that are actually facts.

Friday, July 22, 2016

Sleepers and Semi-Sleepers from Every Team

Arizona - Michael Floyd, WR. ADP=48.
Rough way to start a sleeper list with a late-4th, early-5th rounder.  It's alphabetical.  It will get better.  Floyd will outproduce this cost and the only other potential sleeper is Chris Johnson at #155.

Atlanta - Matt Ryan, QB.  ADP=135.

It will get better... keep reading.  I do like Ryan at #135 though.

Baltimore - Kamar Aiken, WR.  ADP=121.

I believe Aiken leads this WR group in 2016.  He's big, fast, experienced, and had a really nice year in 2015.  I also don't trust Steve Smith or Mike Wallace at this point.

Buffalo - Mike Gillislee, RB.  ADP=Undrafted

He'll be the backup to LeSean McCoy.  He averaged 5.7 ypc in limited work last year, despite a stinker in week 17.

Carolina - Jonathan Stewart, RB.  ADP=67.

Okay, there are a lot mitigating factors here... This is your classic boom or bust pick.  Stewart's actual value will probably put him before #48 or after #120.

Chicago - Jordan Howard, RB.  ADP=160.  

No one seems to believe in Jeremy Langford.  You?  No?  Howard is cheap.  If he gets the load he's a steal at this point on volume alone.

Cincinnati - Tyler Eifert, TE.  ADP=76.
Okay, so 76th is pretty high for a sleeper.  I couldn't go with Brandon LaFell and I think this is great value for Eifert if he gets healthy.  Andy Dalton has AJ Green to throw to but will really rely on Eifert this year.  Also good value in chili-spaghetti-city is the DST.

Cleveland - Josh Gordon, WR.  ADP=142.

He's getting reinstated. (In my opinion.) 
There was that one season he was the top WR in the league. (Not an opinion.) 
He is entering his physical prime at just 25 years old. (Not an opinion.)
He's really, really got something to prove.  (Opinion?)

Dallas - Terrance Williams, WR.  ADP=192.

Heaven help me, I still believe.  There's just no one there beyond Dez, and Romo is a really good QB.  I mean, yeah, I like Cole Beasley a little bit... but c'mon man... The opportunity is there for Williams and his ADP is 192.  192.

Denver - Devontae Booker, RB.  ADP=165.

That's a good price even as a handcuff.  If CJ Anderson goes down or flakes out for some reason, Booker's your guy.

Detroit - Marvin Jones, WR.  ADP=85.

I believe that Golden Tate is more of a second banana.  I know Marvin Jones is 26 years old, 6'2", and once caught 10 TD's in a season.  I believe Matthew Stafford has a better arm than Andy Dalton.  I know that the Lions need someone to fill the hole left by Mega's departure.  I also believe that the taking Tate in the 3rd round is crazy sauce.

Green Bay - Jared Cook, TE.  ADP=163.

Jared Cook is really talented.  Aaron Rodgers is really talented.  Let's not overthink this at #163.

Houston - Will Fuller, WR. ADP=Undrafted.

Okay, he's a rookie and he'll have Brock Osweiler throwing the ball to him.  Makes sense that he's undrafted, I guess... but he was a 1st round pick and he should be the #2 option in the passing attack.

Indapolis - Phillip Dorsett, WR.  ADP=161.  
Plenty of room for three WR's here.  They spent a 1st on Dorsett and want to see him fly.

Jacksonville - TJ Yeldon, RB.  ADP=97.

Lots of mouths to feed in Jacksonville... plus they brought in Chris Ivory.  Good.  Keeps Yeldon's cost down.

Kansas City - Charcandrick West, RB.  ADP=125.

Jamaal Charles is a generational talent.  He also gets injured often.
West is also really good.  He will get those touches when Charles goes down. He'll cost you an 11th rounder.

Los Angeles - Tavon Austin, WR.  ADP=118.
If Jared Goff knows what's good for him he'll find Austin in space.  I'm not sold on this one, but he intrigues me immensely.

Miami - Ryan Tannehill, QB. ADP=158.  
Everyone's darling last year.  He didn't produce at elite levels but also wasn't as bad as you think.  Still just 27 entering his fifth season.  Bring on the Adam Gase offense.

Minnisota - Jerrick McKinnon, RB.  ADP=152.  

People are down on AD because of his age and injury history.  Okay, fine... What are you gonna do about it?  Simply not draft him?  Why not take his talented backup in the 14th round and take a stand?

New England - Jimmy Garapolo, QB.  ADP=Undrafted.  

I mean, he's getting four starts right?  Three of them are pretty good matchups.  Let me put it this way, would you be surprised to look up after week four and see this guy in the top 10?  Me neither.  He costs nothing.  I also like the idea of knowing who I'm cutting in week five for the flavor of the day.

New Orleans - Michael Thomas, WR.  ADP=152.  

Love, love, love Brandin Cooks.  Willie Snead I'm not buying.  Coby Fleener might do something here... though it does seem that there is a lot of opportunity in a Brees offense for a bigger WR. Even an unproven one.

New York Giants - Paul Perkins, RB.  ADP=179.  

Color me crazy, but I don't think Rashad Jennings will hold up.

New York Jets - Bilal Powell, RB.  ADP=119.

47 receptions in 11 games last year plus 4.5 ypc on the ground.  He's behind Matt Forte, but they are already talking about a time share to keep Forte fresh.  You could do worse at #119.

Oakland - Latavius Murray, RB.  ADP=45.

Hmm, so maybe it's hard to say 'sleeper' at 45... Nevertheless this is too low for Murray.

Philadelphia - Wendell Smallwood, RB.  ADP=192.  

So, Ryan Mathews?  Then what?

Pittsburgh - Sammie Coates, WR.  ADP=140.
It's a shot in the dark since I doubt Markus Wheaton's hands.

San Diego - Travis Benjamin, WR.  ADP=115.
I really don't think Benjamin's year was a fluke in 2015.  This year he's got a much better QB sitch and Keenan Allen will get all of the double teams.  Benjamin on the 9-route for the score!!

San Francisco - Torrey Smith, WR.  ADP=111.

The QB in San Fran probably won't be good.  However, there is a lot of room in a Chip Kelly offense for a receiver as accomplished and explosive as Smith.

Seattle - Tyler Lockett, WR.  ADP=74.

Lockett will emerge as a star in 2016. 
Step 1 - Draft Lockett at #74.
Step 2 - Profit.

Tampa Bay - Vincent Jackson, WR.  ADP=130.

Baby, I can't quit you.  Jameis gets better this year and Evans can't get all the targets.

Tennessee - Rishard Matthews, WR.  ADP=173.
I just don't believe in Kendall Wright or a rookie named Tajae Sharp...  In just 11 games last year Matthews grabbed 43 balls at a career high of 15.3 yards per reception.  Maybe it's his time?

Washington - Josh Doctson, WR.  ADP=164.

Man, I loved Doctson in the draft this year.  There is a non-zero chance that he outperforms DeSean Jackson in 2016.  164 is a cheap way to find out.  The other thing about Doctson is that even though he's a rookie I believe you'll know really quickly if they are going to trust him this year.  If he isn't getting used you can cut him.

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Good Value, Bad Value: Sleepers and Busts

By David Brandt

Sometimes sleepers are unheard of and busts are all of the big names... sometimes we're just talking about good value and bad value.  Check out this list to find some sleeper gems and some reasons to avoid a few other guys:



Ben Zobrist - I will start off with an oldie but a goody.  Zobrist has always had appeal in fantasy leagues due to his position versatility.  His ability to play nearly every position assured him a spot nearly every day in Joe Maddon's lineup while in Tampa.  He averaged 153 games and 562 AB/season from 2009, when he burst on the scene, through 2014, his final season with the Rays.  Zobrist is now reunited with Joe Maddon and is expected to bat near the top of a powerhouse Cubs Lineup. Bottom line: Zobrist is an on-base machine projecting to bat in the top third of one of the most prolific lineups in baseball.  He also plays half his games in a hitters park.  He should exceed projected totals of R, HR, RBI, and even SB.  Draft confidently as your starting 2B.

Brandon Belt - Brandon Belt is coming off probably his most productive season in his career.  Limited to 137 games because of various injuries, Belt was still able to put a 73/18/68 slash while batting .280.  Belt is slated to bat 6th in a loaded giants lineup, so there should be no shortage of RBI opportunities.  Pair that with the fact that he is 28 years old and should be in his prime years-there is a very high ceiling here.  There is no reason he cannot produce similar numbers to Freddie Freeman or Prince Fielder, but he can be had nearly 50 picks later. The Giants missed the playoffs last year, and they spent a ton to make sure that didn't happen again.  Expect Belt to be a catalyst in this explosive offense.  No need to invest in aging first basemen who are potentially on the downturn of their careers, go for the upside!

Denard Span - Speaking of the Giants spending spree, Denard Span is an addition to this powerful lineup that is clearly flying under the radar.  I mentioned how powerful this offense can be, and of course it all starts at the top.  Span gets on base consistently (he has a career OBP of .352) and if his career stats hold true, it should turn into a beautifully productive season.  Span is just a season removed from 30 steals, so the man has some serious wheels.  He can put up more productive fantasy seasons than Ben Revere and Billy Hamilton and he can be yours 80 picks later.

Andrew Heaney - Heaney is a former top 10 pick who was the key piece of the trade that brought Dee Gordon to Miami.  He was then traded to the other side of town where he will try to make a name for himself.  Heaney finished the season very strong, allowing 2 ER or fewer in 9 of his last 10 starts.  This offseason, the Halos added Andrelton Simmons, which should only help Heaney improve on last year's impressive 3.49 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.  Heaney is going largely undrafted in leagues, so invest a late round pick in this pitcher who has the potential to provide a great ROI.  

Luke Gregerson - When you make your last couple of picks, you are usually trying to find diamonds in the rough.  These are guys that may not have an immediate role or may not have the clearest path to stardom, but if the stars align, big things can happen.  Gregerson is a great example of this.  He was a top 100 overall player last year with 31 saves as the Astros stopper.  Yes, the Astros traded for Ken Giles from Philly, but he's no sure thing to be their closer.  Giles has pitched terrible this Spring, which doesn't always hold much weight, but you would like to at least see some production outings out of him. He was closing for a team in the NL in weakest division in baseball.  He was a dominant setup man and may be best served in that role to help solidify the backend for a championship contending team.  I guess this could be as much a Gregerson sleeper pick as it is a Giles bust pick, but I will certainly be grabbing Gregerson as a late flier.



Giancarlo Stanton - Giancarlo Stanton is a sexy name that is coveted early in drafts.  His tremendous power potential makes owners salivate.  To me, Stanton is merely a three category player with a history of injury problems.  In fact, he has averaged only 122 games per season since 2011.  I am not saying Stanton is bad by any means, but I would rather draft Machado, Rizzo, Correa, Bryant, or Altuve all day.  I can then scoop up Chris Davis a round or two later and get very similar numbers.  Stanton is a major injury risk for a team that doesn't expect to compete.  It is very likely he won't be around while you chase down a championship.  

Jose Fernandez - Not to pile on Miami or anything, but Jose Fernandez is in a very similar situation.  There is already speculation that he is going to be on an innings limit, and rightfully so.  This kid is a stud, undeniably.  The problem with Fernandez is that you are drafting him as one of the first pitchers off the board, but it is extremely likely that he won't be around for you during the fantasy playoffs.  Maybe he can pitch you into first place in the regular season, and that usually brings home a few shekels, but if you want to win a championship, you may want to look elsewhere.  There are plenty of stud arms in a similar tier to Fernandez that are far more likely to be around come playoff time.  

Jacob deGrom - Speaking of other arms in a similar tier, something about deGrom is rubbing me the wrong way. He just pitched 191 innings in the regular season with the playoffs on top of that, up from just 140 the year before.  Add to that the fact that he has "had trouble" finding his velocity this Spring.  I take minimal note of Spring Training statistics, but when someone comes off such a substantial workload and can't find that velocity that helped him dominate, it sends up a red flag.  Maybe deGrom is fine and he will pitch another dominating campaign this season.  That is not a risk I am willing to take on a guy I could be potentially drafting to be my ace.  Just like Fernandez, there are plenty of other good arms in that tier that don't carry cloudiness like deGrom.

Ryan Braun - Listing Braun as a bust has nothing to do with his off-field lifestyle choices.  This is a man on the wrong side of 30 who had off-season back surgery, and is already sitting out with back soreness.  This reminds me a little of a Derrick Rose-like situation.  It is a smart move to sit out as a precaution in the spring, when games don't count.  When you are coming off surgery and you are feeling sore with the season right around the corner, it tell me you may not be completely ready to come back.  If Braun tries to prove the naysayers wrong by coming back prematurely, he puts himself at a high risk of re-injuring his bad back which has caused him to miss significant time throughout the last two seasons.  Very much like D-Rose.  Couple that with the fact that his team looks awful and it has the potential to be a situation in which Braun misses more time this year.  His price tag is too high for someone battling a back injury.  For me, I'll pass.

Jordan Zimmerman - Zimmerman took a major step back in his last season for the Nats.  His ERA jumped an entire run and his WHIP was also up to a pedestrian 1.20.  He has never really been a strikeout guy, moreso a guy relying on his command, which was clearly off last year.   The Nats were a bit of a mess last year, and Zimmermann is now pitching for a team with a dominant lineup.  Unfortunately, he is pitching in arguably the most competitive division in baseball.  Plus, pitchers rarely transition well from the NL to the AL.  Unless Zimmerman regains that control, he really doesn't bring much to the table.  He will have a mediocre WHIP and ERA, without enough Ks to make an impact.  He is just a name from a couple years ago, and I feel his best years are behind him.  Let some other amateur in your league take the familiar name while you capitalize on some of the young, high upside guys in his tier like Matz, Odorizzi, Smyly, Rodon, and Corbin.

Wednesday, March 9, 2016

FSIC AL-Only Draft

Last Saturday I took part in the venerable and long-standing FSIC Expert Draft.  I'm in the AL-Only league, which is a great honor.  I even took home the trophy (literally, this thing is like four feet tall) back in 2013.  2013 seems like a long time ago now, and I need to get another one.

It's a really tough group of competitors, but we did have a last minute dropout so that makes things a little more streamlined.  I'm not saying 'easier' because it ain't easy.  But a nine team "only" league is still fairly shallow and good players will still be hard to pick up.

In the draft my plan was to load up on hitters, particularly middle infield and outfield.  I was betting that I could find starting pitching later, though I did want to grab two strong closers to handle saves and bring down my ratios just a touch overall.  I thought that catcher went about eight deep in the AL and corner infielders could be had later.

The math is pretty easy in the outfield in particular.  There are roughly 45 AL outfielder starters.  15 teams times three starters plus a few DH's minus some platoons.  Since this league has nine teams and five starting OF slots every one of those outfielders will be required.  If I can get six good ones I'm ahead of the game.

Middles and corners?  There are about 30 each (a little more for corners playing DH) and our league starts about 27 each.  I do see supply a little heavier at the corner for DH's and outfielders who qualify there, but I also see a smoother quality curve for corners.

Pitchers?  Well, there are 75 or so starting pitchers in the AL and basically 15 closers.  Not all of either list is quality.  My plan was to wait on starters and get some upside guys in pitchers parks in the middle rounds.  For closers, every team with two is ahead of the game.  If you have two of the top six or seven you are way ahead.

So, on to the draft.  My strategy played out almost exactly as I detailed above.

In round one I was hoping for the 'go big' pick of Carlos Correa at #6.  He went #5... but that meant Jose Altuve fell to #6.  Fine by me.  Pairing him with an outfield-eligible Chris Davis at #13 gives me a lot of everything.

Adam Jones at 24 gives me another great outfielder as I build my stockpile.  Xander Bogaerts at 31 completes my double play combo and really anchors my batting average.

Hosmer is a good value at 42 though a little earlier than I wanted to go for a 1B.  He slipped for a reason.  At 49 I reached a bit on Cody Allen since he was the last of the stud closers.  Adrian Beltre fell to 60 and couldn't pass him up, even with the injury.  Adam Eaton should deliver value with the next pick.  Some might criticize Shawn Tolleson with pick #78, but I think he is a fantastic closer and paired with Allen should give me an unfair advantage.  Don't pay for saves?  It's a shallow league and I paid for saves.  Sixth and ninth round picks is a sizable investment, but I've got a full infield plus Davis and Jones in the outfield. 

I had hoped I'd have more outfielders by now, but starting pitching is empty!  The cupboard is bare.

Yordano Ventura, Collin McHugh, Carlos Rodon, and Kevin Gausman are four of my next five picks.  Boom.  You want upside in a rotation?  I challenge you to find a more boom or bust rotation in all of the fantasy world.  Later in the draft I added Chris Tillman, Chris Bassitt, Hector Santiago, and Henderson Alvarez.  I don't love the parks in Baltimore or Chicago for pitchers but I did grab a Royal and a couple A's.  Mission accomplished?  Meh.  I do have considerable upside though.  Add to that group the K's and ratios from Allen, Tolleson, and also Darren O'Day and maybe I'll do okay.

But the outfield tho.  I thought you were going to prioritize OF?  Well, Davis, Jones, and Eaton right?  Ahem.  Okay, three more spots to fill plus at least one bench spot.  Funny thing about that.  You see, Austin Jackson signed with the White Sox on Sunday and on Saturday I drafted Eaton, Melky Cabrera, and Avisail Garcia.  Garcia is the one in jeopardy here, but I do wonder how the DH situation works out if Adam LaRoche is done.  Besides, Jackson is really a platoon guy at this point.  Right?  I supplemented my Windy City outfield with Byron Buxton in the middle rounds.  Enormous upside if the light goes on.  I also grabbed Seth Smith very late.  He's the definition of replacement player, but he should get AB's in Seattle and be average across the board.  Pretty good for an OF7, actually.

I also took Trevor Plouffe as Beltre insurance plus Didi Gregorius.  I like to have a utility guy as well and Eduardo Escobar is another completely average guy, but he qualifies all over the place which is helpful in a shallow league.  It's more helpful in a daily league and this one is weekly, but it's still nice to have a Swiss Army knife in the drawer.

Oh yeah, did I mention Pablo Sandoval?  Yeah, him too.  I know, I know... Panda's fallen on hard times.  Nevertheless, he works into my 20/20 drafting strategy that I describe in my book.  I needed a high upside guy for cheap, and I took Pablo in the 18th round.

The only player I haven't mentioned is my catcher.  Robinson Chirinos in the 15th round.  I could have pushed it and gotten him later, but I did say catcher is about eight deep in the AL and Chirinos is #8.  Plus I like him.  He could do what Matt Wieters often does - .238 BA with 23 home runs.  That kind of power at catcher at this point is pretty good value, so I didn't wait any longer.

The auto-generated CBS draft scorecard had me third.  I never know if I want those computer rankings to rate me highly since the idea is to go against the site on which you are drafting to find value.  Maybe I played it safe enough to get #3 and my upside will carry me to another four-foot trophy.

Getting a Grip

Many years ago before I had a wife and kids I had a roommate to help pay the bills.  One day we went to a state park with some friends and we spied this ledge near a canyon.  Now, the ledge was about four feet up from the ground but if you looked at it from the right angle it looked for all the world as if it was the edge of the canyon and a 500 foot drop.

So, my buddy got down under the ledge, reached up and grasped the edge, looked at the camera in terror, and hilarity ensued.  We snapped the picture and put it on our refrigerator.  Priceless.

This year, like last, I'm having to work hard to get a grasp on the fantasy landscape.  I can't say I have a look of terror yet but sometimes I wonder about certain players, especially at the top end of the draft.

I wonder what $161 million does to Chris Davis.  I wonder what a $150 million demand from an aging Jose Bautista does to him.  Speaking of big deals, how much are Greinke and Price affected by their new ballparks?  Can Giancarlo Stanton play a full year?  Will McCutchen's speed return?  He's only 29 years old.

I suppose it's the same every year.  And truly, questions abound all the way down the list.  I mean, is Pablo Sandoval worth drafting?

It goes to show that homework is as important as it ever has been.  I suggest you either do all of the exhaustive work yourself and make up your own mind about each player from a vacuum... or you access multiple sources of information and generate a consensus.

One of the very best tools for this is  This isn't a commercial for those guys, but I find the slicing and dicing of many expert opinions to be exceptionally helpful.  It's free and fast.  You can pick the experts you want to include and who you want to exclude.  There are even site rankings from some of the big guys on there.  You can also see how accurate each expert was last year.

If you do head over there and create a customized composite of the most accurate experts, I do recommend you include at least the top 19 in your list.  19?  Why such a specific number?  Well, I just think that #19 is particularly talented.

Good luck in your drafts, Brainiacs.

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week Seventeen

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

Alright fantasy football enthusiasts, this is the last week for NFL football and fantasy football. If you won a championship already, congratulations. If this is the week the championship is decided, best of luck. If you didn't compete for a championship, maybe you participate in a keeper league and want to make a few moves before rosters are locked for the season. Whatever your situation is heading into week 17, I hope you enjoyed playing this season and if you're looking to make some moves on the waiver wire, take a look below. See you again for the 2016 fantasy football season.


Kyle Rudolph- Tight End- Minnesota Vikings- While Kyle Rudolph may not be a model of consistency for fantasy owners, he has been playing better as of late. He may have had only three targets on Sunday but he did score a touchdown. He's an extremely touchdown dependent player but fantasy owners looking for a tight end in week 17 may want to take a look at the Minnesota tight end.

Dontrelle Inman- Wide Receiver- San Diego Chargers- Coming off of a game where Inman saw 13 targets, he's become a steady option in the passing game and has scored double digit fantasy points in two of his last four games.


Keshawn Martin- Wide Receiver- New England Patriots- The recently acquired Martin will more than likely have little to no value once Julian Edelman and Danny Amendola return from their injuries but until then, he may be the receiver to own in New England not named Rob Gronkowski. Week 16 saw Martin with a season high 11 targets tossed his way as he hauled in seven balls for 68 yards. Once the Patriots offense is at full strength, Martin may be nothing more than a special teams guy but for now, he could be a sneaky play for week 17.

Jermaine Kearse- Wide Receiver- Seattle Seahawks- With 21 targets over the last three games and the Seattle offense hitting on all cylinders, fantasy owners will want to own a piece of the Seahawks passing game. Sunday saw Kearse catch three passes for 38 yards and a score and just miss posting double digit fantasy points for the second time in as many weeks. Owners looking for receiver help will want to take a look at Kearse for week 17.


Andre Ellington- Running Back- Arizona Cardinals- At this point, is there any doubt as to David Johnson being the man in Arizona? Being reduced to a change of pace back, Ellington scored less than five fantasy points in week 16 and can not be counted on for week 17 if you're playing for anything meaningful.

Will Tye- Tight End- New York Giants- Through no fault of his own, Tye has become less of a fantasy stud the last couple of weeks since making a name for himself. The Giants offense is so inconsistent that it's difficult to trust anyone not named Odell Beckham Jr. Tye had three catches for 28 yards in week 16 and will be hard to start in week 17 with anything on the line.

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week Sixteen

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

Congratulations to all owners playing for a fantasy football championship this week. As always with fantasy football, injuries are yet again part of the story heading into what is probably your championship week. Like so many other owners, it's time once again to look towards the waiver wire for help.


Kirk Cousins- Quarterback- Washington Redskins- If you are one of the lucky ones to still have the Washington signal caller sitting on your waiver wire, now is the time to pick him up. Drew Brees owners may need to grab a quarterback this week with the Saints captain questionable heading into week 16. Cousins is averaging over 21 fantasy points per game this season and has 15 touchdowns to ten interceptions while tossing only three interceptions in his last eight starts.

Reuben Randle- Wide Receiver- New York Giants- With the suspension of number one wideout Odell Beckham Jr, Randle figures to see more targets in week 16. He has found the end zone in three of the last four games and has back to back games with a touchdown. Fantasy owners looking to replace Beckham Jr may only need to look at his teammate for receiving help this week.


Jerick McKinnon- Running Back- Minnesota Vikings- Should AP miss this week, McKinnon should be a viable replacement for fantasy owners. McKinnon scored a touchdown in week 15 while totaling 87 yards. His real value comes in the passing game where he hauled in all four of his targets. It's possible he splits time with Matt Asiata in the absence of Adrian Peterson but in PPR formats, McKinnon could end up shining.

Mike Gillislee- Running Back- Buffalo Bills- With Karlos Williams banged up what seems like almost every week and fantasy owners already knowing LeSean McCoy is done for the season, Gillislee could be a fantasy savior for owners in need of a running back. Gillislee has found pay dirt in back to back games and scored a 60 yard touchdown last week. While it's likely Gillislee and Williams split time in week 16, Gillislee has an arrow pointing up.


Stefon Diggs- Wide Receiver- Minnesota Vikings- There has finally been a Stefon Diggs sighting. Not since week eight have fantasy owners heard the name Stefon Diggs brought up. After scoring twice in week 15, Diggs put himself back on fantasy owners radars but those owners looking at Diggs shouldn't get too excited. Before last week, Diggs has gone six straight weeks without a touchdown and just isn't reliable on a week to week basis.

Donald Brown- Running Back- San Diego Chargers- With rookie Melvin Gordon hurt, Brown and Woodhead split the load in week 15 but yet again, fantasy owners should not get too excited for Donald Brown. With 90 yards to his name last week, Brown isn't consistent enough to warrant starting in your championship week. His four targets give him a glimmer of hope but Donald Brown has been known to let down fantasy owners when they expected him to perform in the past.