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Saturday, November 22, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Twelve

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With only a few short weeks left in the 2014 fantasy football regular season, it's time for fantasy owners to really buckle down and make some popular or unpopular decisions in route to making the playoffs. Each roster decision made is magnified and scrutinized over and over. No fantasy owner can afford to make the wrong decision when it comes to which players to start and which players to sit. Welcome to the week 12 edition of "Fine or Pine".

Quarterback

Fine- Colin Kapernick- San Francisco 49ers- Let's face the facts if you're a Colin Kapernick owner. If you can't trust him this week versus the Redskins, you can't trust him at all. While fantasy owners haven't had much cause for starting  Kapernick this season, the week 12 matchup is as enticing as it will get for Kaepernick. The Washington defense is allowing over 20 fantasy points per game to opposing signal callers while Kapernick is averaging over 20 fantasy points per week. If the 49ers signal caller can't get the job done for fantasy owners this week, he's not worth having on your roster at all.

Pine- Eli Manning- New York Giants- While I highly doubt anyone will be willingly starting the Giants signal caller any time soon, there may be some instances where fantasy owners have no choice. Maybe the bye week has you short handed or you play in a two quarterback league, but starting Eli Manning is a wise decision. Coming off of a five interception game in week 11 versus the 49ers and throwing six interceptions to only two touchdowns in his last two games, Eli Manning has become a fantasy after thought. He's also been held under 20 fantasy points the last two weeks and a matchup with the Cowboys won't do him any favors as the Dallas defense has help opposing quarterback to under 20 fantasy points all season.

Wide Receiver

Fine- A.J. Green- Cincinnati Bengals- Of course you should start A.J. Green every week if you own him. You didn't need me to tell you that. What you may have needed me to tell you is Green faces an opponent this week in the Houston Texans that is now allowing the most fantasy points to the wide receiver at almost 45 points per game. Even more in his favor is that Green is averaging over 12 fantasy points per game and has only one game this season where he was helps to single digit fantasy points and that was his first game back from his toe injury. If you're an A.J. Green owner, get him into your starting lineup and watch the fantasy points roll in.

Pine- Julio Jones- Atlanta Falcons- As obvious as I was with starting A.J. Green this week, I'm going to be bold with sitting the Falcons stud wide out Julio Jones for the simple reason of the production just hasn't been there this year. For starters, Jones will have Joe Haden covering him this week and secondly, Julio Jones has one double digit fantasy points games since week five. You read that right. One double digit fantasy points game since week five. That just won't cut it this close to the fantasy playoffs.

Running Back

Fine- Isaiah Crowell- Cleveland Browns- The Browns rookie back has scored 10.1 and 9.1 respectively his last two outings and the Atlanta Falcons happen to be the worst run defense in fantasy football in 2014 allowing 30 fantasy points per week to the running back position. With Crowell set to handle a majority of the carries this week, how can fantasy owners not like him to finish a top player at his position?

Pine- Jonas Gray- New England Patriots- There is a very simple theory behind my sitting Jonas Gray a week after he rushed for over 200 yards and a Patriots record four touchdowns. There is no way he or any player can repeat that performance. While Gray is more than worth a stash on any type of format in fantasy football, any owners that are rostering him cannot and should not expect that kind of production on a week to week basis. It will still be difficult to predict what the Patriots will do from week to week and there is always a chance that Jonas Gray isn't a big part of the Patriots' game plan in week 12. He faces a touch Detroit run defense who are in the top ten when it comes to defending against the run.

Tight End

Fine- Coby Fleener- Indianapolis Colts- With Dwayne Allen looking more and more like a no go for week 12, fantasy owners need to get Coby Fleener into their starting lineups if for this week only. With a matchup versus the Jaguars on tap, Coby Fleener becomes a top fantasy tight end this week before he even plays a snap. The Jaguars tend to forget about the tight end while they are allowing over 13 fantasy points per game to the position. Even more appealing for fantasy owners is that Fleener is coming off of back to back double digit fantasy points game and last week versus the Patriots, when Allen went out with his ankle injury, Fleener stepped up to the tune of seven catches for 144 yards all on seven targets. TE one all the way in week 12.

Pine- Vernon Davis- San Francisco 49ers- Let's face facts here fantasy owners. Vernon Davis is dead to us. At least for the remainder of this season. With one game of double digit fantasy points (way back in week one), VD provides no fantasy value whatsoever at this point and Colin Kaepernick doesn't even look his way much either. With no more than six targets and four receptions on the year, fantasy owners can find more production on their waiver wire.

D/ST

Fine- San Francisco 49ers- The 49ers have popped up everywhere in this article this week. Maybe that's because the 49ers face the lowly Redskins and while the San Francisco defense isn't what it has been under Jim Harbaugh, they still have a great matchup this week. The Redskins are an offense under Robert Griffin III, that either will throw interceptions, or just hold onto the ball longer that advised. Fantasy owners can expect a couple of turnovers from the 49ers defense in this game while holding the Washington offense in check as well.

Pine- Detroit Lions- I realize the Lions defense has been one of the better fantasy defenses this season, but the Patriots offense has been that much better since the beating they took at the hands of the Chiefs back in week five. With Tom Brady averaging 23 fantasy points per game and Gronk averaging almost 13 fantasy points per game, the New England Patriots are a team fantasy owners need to sit the opposing defenses for.

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week Twelve

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With time winding down in the fantasy season, owners have to make moves right now that will impact their fantasy teams not only for the remainder of the season, but for the playoffs as well. With the bye weeks finally starting to calm down, owners still have to contend with injuries and starting players not performing up to their projections. The waiver wire can be a friendly place if you know what to look for. It can also be a cold and desolate place if you don't know what to look for. With week 12 a couple of days away, it's time for fantasy owners to visit their waiver wire once again and see what players can be of use heading into the final weeks of the regular season.

Keepers

Jonas Gray- Running Back- New England Patriots- With the cold weather here, teams will need to lean a little more on their ground game. With the cold weather in New England rapidly approaching, it appears the Patriots have found their power run game in Jonas Gray. Ever since Steven Ridley went down for the season, the Patriots seemed to rely heavily on Shane Vereen in the passing game as well as the run game. Week 11 changed all of that with the emergence of Jonas Gray and his 38 rushes for 199 yards and four touchdowns. Fantasy owners should not expect that type of game from Gray on a weekly basis but it is nice to know there's a running back this late in the season available on the waiver wire that can help fantasy owners heading into the cold weather games.

Coby Fleener- Tight End- Indianapolis Colts- With Dwayne Allen considered day to day, his fantasy owners need a contingency plan if he doesn't suit up for week 12. With a stellar matchup on tap versus the Jaguars, the best replacement for Allen is his teammate, Coby Fleener. Week 11 saw Fleener post seven catches for 144 yards and score double digit fantasy points for the second week in a row. Fleener is averaging almost seven fantasy points per game this season and has to be considered a top tight end if Dwayne Allen is a no go.

Isaiah Crowell- Running Back- Cleveland Browns- Now that Ben Tate has been released, it's all about Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West. While it may be difficult to trust either back on any given week, it appears the starting job is Crowell's to lose. He was the lead back in week 11 and posted his fourth double digit fantasy points game this season. Crowell is averaging almost eight fantasy points per game and has five scores on the season.

Zach Mettenberger- Quarterback- Tennessee Titans- Fantasy owners looking for a quarterback to get them through the rest of the season should look no further than the Titans rookie. Mettenberger is averaging 14.5 fantasy points per game since he took over the starting job four games ago and of those four games, has scored 20 or more fantasy points three times. Mettenberger may be the quarterback to bring some of the Titans receivers back to fantasy relevance.

Sleepers

Kenny Stills- Wide Receiver- New Orleans Saints- With the news that Brandin Cooks will miss significant time following hand surgery, second year wide out Kenny Stills moves up on the Saints depth chart. In nine games this season, Stills has 42 targets and 31 receptions for over 400 yards and a couple of touchdowns. He's averaging over six fantasy points per game and should see a nice uptick in targets and overall production with Cooks out for a while.

Juwan Thompson- Running Back- Denver Broncos- Even though Thompson is not the premiere back for the Broncos, he's only an injury or fumble away from being the top back in a Peyton Manning led offense. With Montee Ball re injuring his groin and Ronnie Hillman done for about a month, Juwan Thompson is second on the depth chart behind C.J. Anderson and could end up seeing more playing time should anything happen to Anderson. Week 11 was not kind to him seeing how he only had one catch for three yards and no carries at all but again, he's only a fumble or injury away from getting the starting job.

Cody Latimer- Wide Receiver- Denver Broncos- Right now Latimer sits at one target on the season (which he caught) for nine yards but with the decline of Wes Welker and the concussion to Emmanuel Sanders, Cody Latimer may see more playing time in the coming weeks. As fantasy owners know very well, any receiver in a Peyton Manning led offense can be a great fantasy asset. Especially down the stretch and heading into the playoffs.

Latavius Murray- Running Back- Oakland Raiders- I realize it may be difficult for fantasy owners to find any silver lining when it comes to adding Raiders players to their roster but with Maurice Jones- Drew and Darren McFadden not carrying their weight and the Raiders officially eliminated from the playoffs, it may be time for the Raiders to see what Latavius Murray can do for them. In the five games Murray played this season, he has 10 rushes for 54 yards. Running back starved fantasy owners will want to keep an eye on Murray for the stretch run and into the playoffs.

Chris Hogan- Wide Receiver- Buffalo Bills- Week 11 saw Chris Hogan lead all Bills wide outs in receiving. Hogan hauled in seven of his nine targets for 74 yards. Chris Hogan now has at least five catches in four of his last five games and could be a sneaky fantasy asset late in the season.

Jeepers

Andre Holmes- Wide Receiver- Oakland Raiders- While one Raiders player made the "sleepers" list, another makes the "Jeepers" list. Andre Holmes was a hot waiver wire add earlier in the season and has now become a player that may be better suited to stay on the waiver wire. Holmes has not scored double digit fantasy points since week eight and of his six targets in week 11, only managed to secure two of them. He's coming off of his second lowest scoring output of the season in week 11 and is becoming more difficult to trust each week.

Shaun Hill- Quarterback- St. Louis Rams- This is a case of Shaun Hill being a better NFL player than fantasy player. While Hill had a decent game versus the Broncos in week 11, it wasn't enough to help fantasy owners out very much seeing how he plays the very important position of quarterback. Hill passed for 220 yards and a touchdown but again, fantasy owners will need more from the quarterback position. Hill is a better option in two quarterback leagues than he is in a single quarterback league.

Saturday, November 15, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Eleven

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With week 11 already here, it's time for fantasy owners to submit their lineups. With the fantasy playoffs looking fantasy owners in the eye, every week becomes more important than the last and each decision becomes more scrutinized. If you need help setting your lineups for the week, continue reading. If you don't need help, continue reading anyway for confirmation on your lineup decisions.

Quarterback

Fine- Tom Brady- New England Patriots- When the Patriots meet the Colts on Sunday night, there will be plenty of points to go around and Tom Brady has been on fire since the blowout in Kansas City. Since week five, Brady has scored more than 20 fantasy points per game since week five and is averaging over 23 fantasy points per game on the season. The Colts defense is allowing almost 19 fantasy points per game to the quarterback so Tom Brady should have no problem picking up where he left off before his bye.

Pine- Drew Stanton- Arizona Cardinals- Some fantasy owners may be in a position to start Stanton due to the Carson Palmer injury or bye week fill in but his week 11 matchup isn't favorable. The Cardinals face the Lions and the Detroit defense is allowing a fantasy best 13.1 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While Stanton has filled in admirably in the absence of Palmer this season, he hasn't been fantasy relevant. He's averaging just over 11 fantasy points per game and hasn't scored more than 8.6 fantasy points other than his only double digit fantasy points game in week three.

Running Back

Fine- Alfred Morris- Washington Redskins- With the return of Robert Griffin III, the Washington ground game should get a boost  this week especially facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who allow over 26 fantasy points per game to the running back position. Alfred Morris is averaging 11.5 fantasy points per game and has scored double digit fantasy points in back to back games in week eight and nine and should have no problem posting another double digit fantasy point game this week against the Buccaneers.

Pine- Tre Mason- St. Louis Rams- The Denver Broncos defense is allowing the ninth least amount of fantasy points to the running back position and Tre Mason is only averaging 7.4 fantasy points per game and has not posted a double digit fantasy points game since week seven. Couple that with the fact the Rams are going to have to pass a lot to keep up with the Broncos offense and Mason isn't primed for a good fantasy game in week 11.

Wide Receiver


Fine- DeSean Jackson- Washington Redskins- It's time to once again to pick on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this week by making sure D-Jax is in your lineups.The Buccaneers are allowing the second most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers at 44.4. Jackson is averaging over 11 fantasy points per game and is coming off of back to back double digit fantasy points games in weeks eight and nine. He has too tempting of a matchup in week 11 to leave out of your starting lineups.

Pine- Michael Floyd- Arizona Cardinals- Until further notice, Floyd cannot be trusted to start each week. His matchup isn't going to do him any favors facing the Lions who are tied for allowing the least amount of fantasy points to opposing wide outs along with the Patriots. Floyd has not posted a double digit fantasy points game since week seven and since that game has scored zero fantasy points in week eight, 3.6 fantasy points in week nine and 1.1 fantasy points in week ten. He hasn't received more than five targets since week six and has all but completely fallen off of fantasy radars.

Tight End

Fine- Mychal Rivera- Oakland Raiders- Even though the Chargers are allowing the fourth least amount of fantasy points to opposing tight ends, Mychal Rivera has been on quite a roll with back to back double digit fantasy points games the last two weeks. Since week eight, Rivera has seen nine targets, eleven targets and eight targets. That many targets is bound to lead to fantasy production.

Pine- Vernon Davis- San Francisco 49ers- By averaging just over 4 fantasy points per game, fantasy owners can't trust VD to contribute too much to fantasy rosters this week or any week after. Davis hasn't seen more than six targets this season and that was back in week six. His opponent for the week, the New York Giants are in the top ten in defending the tight end. Fantasy owners better hope they have a better option in week 11 than Vernon Davis.

D/ST

Fine- Denver Broncos- With the Broncos facing the Rams this week, there's not much doubt that the Denver defense will be tops in fantasy. The Broncos defense is allowing 20 fantasy points to the opposing quarterback and the Rams are starting Shaun Hill over Austin Davis. The Broncos defense should feast on the Rams offense this Sunday.

Pine- Philadelphia Eagles- While the Eagles defense may have won fantasy owners their week last week, it will be difficult for fantasy owners to trust the Philadelphia defense in week eleven when they face Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. Rodgers is averaging 26.4 fantasy points per game and has scored over 20 fantasy points per week the last four games and at least 25 fantasy points in the last six games. The Eagles defense will have their work cut out for them this week.

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week Eleven

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

Between injuries and bye weeks, fantasy owners are busy each and every week deciding which players to add to their rosters and which players aren't worth using valuable space on. It isn't always easy deciphering which players will make an impact. Some players are on the waiver wire for a reason while some are just waiting to be discovered. With the fantasy playoffs creeping closer and closer, fantasy owners need to make the right decisions on how to properly construct a roster heading into the playoffs. It's time to take a look at the players that will be talked about the most when your waiver wires run this week. Without further ado, I present to you Keepers, Sleepers and Jeepers for week eleven.

Keepers

Drew Stanton- Quarterback- Arizona Cardinals- With the devastating news about Carson Palmer this week, fantasy owners in need of a quarterback or Carson Palmer owners even may want to take a look at Palmer's real life backup Drew Stanton. In the three games Stanton started in place for Palmer this season, he went 2-1 with his only loss coming at Denver. In those three games,   Stanton threw for over 600 yards and three touchdowns to no interceptions. He averaged over 11 fantasy points per game and has the weapons around him to be successful for the rest of the season. Desperate fantasy owners or those looking for a bye week replacement can do worse.

Kyle Rudolph- Tight End- Minnesota Vikings- In the three games Rudolph played before his sports hernia surgery, he had 17 targets (just over five per game) and 10 receptions for 96 yards and a touchdown. He was averaging just over five fantasy points per game and will be a welcomed edition to both the Vikings and to fantasy owners. Finding a tight end to start with confidence every week isn't the easiest task so Kyle Rudolph will help to ease some of that burden.

Bishop Sankey- Running Back- Tennessee Titans- Earlier in the season, it looked like fantasy owners were wrong for selecting the rookie in the early rounds of fantasy drafts but now Sankey appears to be picking up some momentum just in time for the fantasy playoffs to get here. Sankey's workload has increased over the last few weeks and week ten was the second most carries and fantasy points he's notched this season. While the Titans offense has been anything but reliable this year, Bishop Sankey is beginning to emerge as a lead back heading down the stretch.

Cecil Shorts- Wide Receiver- Jacksonville Jaguars- With the news coming down today regarding Allen Robinson missing the remainder of the season, Cecil Shorts is the perfect pickup this week for fantasy owners in need of receiver help or if you just want some depth at the position. Shorts has always been a target hog and now without Allen Robinson for the rest of 2014, Shorts should see a healthy dose of targets from an offense that will have to throw a lot to keep pace. In seven games this season, Shorts has 61 targets and 33 receptions. He's averaging over six fantasy points per game and has two double digit fantasy points games this year. Shorts has seen only one week where he got less than seven targets and that was back in week four where he got only four targets. He will be a reliable fantasy wideout going forward being his targets will be there and that will lead to production.

Jordan Matthews- Wide Receiver- Philadelphia Eagles- It may have taken ten weeks but it's starting to look like the rookie receiver is ready for his close up. Fantasy owners were high on Matthews in drafts this summer but were forced to cut bait with him due to his lack of production and consistency. Week ten may have put all those doubts to rests when he broke out for seven catches for 138 yards and a couple of touchdowns on nine targets. He scored almost 26 fantasy points in week ten and tied his high for targets. It was Matthew's third double digit fantasy points game and his second consecutive. It looks like Jordan Matthews is ready to show fantasy owners what they saw in drafts this summer.

Sleepers

John Brown- Wide Receiver- Arizona Cardinals- With 57 targets and almost 400 yards and five scores under his belt, rookie wide out John Brown could be a reliable fantasy option moving forward. He has three double digit fantasy points games this season and week ten was the second most targets he's seen this year. Brown seemed to have a little more chemistry with Drew Stanton and that could mean big things for the rookie receiver the second half of the season.

C.J. Anderson- Running Back- Denver Broncos- Even though Anderson had a monster game in week ten with 163 total yards and a touchdown, fantasy owners can't forget the fact that Montee Ball is set to return to a more prominent role in week eleven and that could mean a dip in production for Anderson. With the week eleven matchup versus the Rams, if Anderson ends up being the lead back for the Broncos, expect another big game from the Denver tail back.

Damien Williams- Running Back- Miami Dolphins- Week ten showed fantasy owners that Lamar Miller isn't completely out of the picture with his separated AC joint but it did show us that he may not be healthy enough to carry the load for a little bit. Miller had only four carries in week ten to Williams' ten total touches. While Williams did not have a fantasy game for the ages, he did run for almost five yards per carry and could end up seeing more work if the injury to Lamar Miller ends up limiting him in the coming weeks.

Ryan Mallett- Quarterback- Houston Texans- Now that the Ryan Fitzpatrick experiment is over in Houston, it's time to see why the Texans traded a sixth round pick to the Patriots. While fantasy owners don't have much statistics to go on as far as Ryan Mallett is concerned, it is worth noting that Ryan Mallett is familiar with Bill O' Brien's offense from their days together in New England and could be the spark the Texans need to make a late season run. Fantasy owners in need of a quarterback may want to take a look at Mallett.

Jeepers

James Jones- Wide Receiver- Oakland Raiders- If you had James Jones in a PPR format in week ten, you probably didn't notice he didn't do much else but catch eight passes. Those eight passes totaled (drum roll please), 20 yards. Yes 20 yards. That is not a typo. James Jones cannot be trusted on a weekly basis as the same can be said about the Raiders as a team.

Bernard Pierce- Running Back- Baltimore Ravens- If there's a back to own in Baltimore, it isn't Pierce or Talaiferro. It's Justin Forsett. Pierce had a total of eight rushes for 31 yards and scored just over three fantasy points in week ten. Justin Forsett handled the workload for the Ravens offense and at this point, Pierce is merely a fantasy afterthought.

Saturday, November 8, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Ten

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

Week ten is officially here and that means it's time once again for fantasy owners to set their lineups. It isn't always easy to know which players to start and which players to sit. Especially this week with another six teams on their bye. Fantasy owners may be faced with the decision to start a player that they would never think of starting due to so many of the top fantasy players having the week off. The key is knowing which players will give you the best chance of coming out of this week with a victory. Without further ado, I present the week ten edition of Fine or Pine.

Quarterback

Fine- Matt Ryan- Atlanta Falcons- While it's true that Matty Ice has not lived up to the lofty expectations of fantasy owners this season, it cannot be denied that he has one of the better matchups in week ten. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are allowing the sixth most fantasy points to the opposing quarterback and Matt Ryan is due for a big game. After four straight sub 20 fantasy point games, Matt Ryan finally broke 20 fantasy points in week eight. Fantasy owners can start the Falcons signal caller with confidence this week versus a team that can't seem to stop a nose bleed.

Pine- Cam Newton- Carolina Panthers- My how the mighty have fallen. The last two seasons, Cam Newton has been a quarterback fantasy owners would feel confident trotting out there each week. This season is a completely different story. Newton is averaging under 20 fantasy points per game and has not scored 20 fantasy points since week six. What's even more alarming is the fact that Cam only has two rushing touchdowns on the season and has not thrown a touchdown pass since week seven versus the Packers. While he does have a good matchup this week versus the Eagles who happen to allow the third most fantasy points to the quarterback, it's too difficult to rely on Cam until he shows he is back to his old self.

Running Back

Fine- LeSean McCoy- Philadelphia Eagles- While it seemed like Shady was done the first few weeks of the season, he's turned it on over the last few weeks. McCoy may still be only averaging under ten fantasy points per game but he has posted double digit fantasy points in two of the last three games and faces a Carolina defense that is giving up the second most fantasy points to the running back this week. Fantasy owners will be very happy they own Shady McCoy in the second half of the season.

Pine- Chris Johnson- New York Jets- I will start off by saying Johnson has the matchup in his favor this week versus the Steelers who allow 23.3 fantasy points per game to the running back. Next I will say I don't trust Chris Johnson whatsoever. Week nine was Johnson's first double digit fantasy point game since week four. In the weeks between week four and week nine, Johnson has posted 2.2 fantasy points, 1.1 fantasy points, eight fantasy points and two fantasy points. There is no indication that Chris Johnson is turning the corner and should be trusted to be in a fantasy lineup.

Wide Receiver

Fine- Brandon Marshall- Chicago Bears- Brandon Marshall falls into the same category as LeSean McCoy for me. A slow first half and is ready to reward fantasy owners in the second half that stuck with them. With no double digit fantasy point games since week six, a lot of fantasy owners have become discouraged with a receiver who they could plug in for 100 receptions, 1,000 yards and double digit touchdowns every year. I think week ten is where Marshall starts to turn his misfortunes around and give his fantasy owners what they've been waiting for. The matchup versus Green Bay is a favorable one for Marshall as the Packers defense is allowing 34 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver.

Pine- Mike Wallace- Miami Dolphins- The last two games for Wallace have been nothing short of a letdown for his owners seeing how he scored  under six fantasy points the last two weeks in favorable matchups versus Jacksonville and San Diego. This week Wallace gets the Detroit Lions defense who happens to be the best when it comes to defending against the wide receiver as they are allowing a league best 27.7 fantasy points per game.

Tight End

Fine- Heath Miller- Pittsburgh Steelers- Big Ben has thrown an NFL record 12 touchdowns in the last two games and owning any part of the Steelers offense right now is exciting. Fantasy owners should expect that trend to continue this week versus the Jets. While it may be difficult for Big Ben to continue this torrid pace, it isn't far fetched to think Heath Miller can have a good game versus a Jets defense that bleeds fantasy points to the tight end as they are allowing the fourth most to the position at over 17 per game. The lack of targets to Miller could end up hurting him but against a defense that all but forgets about the tight end, Heath Miller should be a top tight end in week ten.

Pine- Vernon Davis- San Francisco 49ers- Take into account the fact the 49ers offense looks completely lost right now and Vernon Davis is averaging under five fantasy points per game and you have the recipe for a disaster if you have to start him this week. The matchup versus the Saints doesn't play into the favor of Vernon Davis as the Saints are allowing the second least amount of fantasy points to the position. What makes matters worse for Davis owners is the fact that the San Francisco tight end has only one double digit fantasy points game this season and that came all he way back in week one. He has failed to score four fantasy points in any game since week one.

Defense

Fine- Arizona Cardinals- The Cardinals are the best team in the NFL and are playing like it on both sides of the ball. While the schedule gets tougher in the coming weeks, they do have the Rams in week ten and fantasy owners can expect the Cardinals defense to come through at least one more week. In eight games played this season, the Arizona defense has 13 sacks and 12 interceptions. Lucky for them Austin Davis is the opposing signal caller this week and he's thrown three interceptions in his last two games and four picks in his last four games. Even though the Cardinals defense ranks middle of the pack for fantasy owners, there's no denying the matchup is definitely in the favor of the Cardinals this week.

Pine- Carolina Panthers- While the matchup may be a little tempting with Mark Sanchez under center for the Eagles for the foreseeable future, it will be difficult for fantasy owners to trust the Panthers defense at this point. They are allowing almost 20 fantasy points to the quarterback, almost 30 fantasy points to the running backs and almost 40 fantasy points to the wide receivers. The Eagles should have no issues at all moving the ball and scoring points in week ten versus the Panthers defense.

Wednesday, November 5, 2014

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week Ten

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

It's time once again to hit the waiver wire to find bye week replacements or gems that can help take your team to the finish line down the stretch. Each passing week finds less and less talent on the waiver wire so grabbing that stud player that will put a fantasy team over the edge is looking less plausible with each passing week. Just what players are worth an add and which players are better off staying on the waiver wire another week? Let's take a look before week ten officially kicks off.

Keepers

Mark Sanchez- Quarterback- Philadelphia Eagles- With the injury to Foles keeping him out for the rest of the fantasy football season, owners that lost the Eagles signal caller may want to grab his replacement, Mark Sanchez. Even though Sanchez was not worthy of a roster spot when he was with the Jets, Chip Kelly's system may turn out to be the perfect fit for Sanchez. While Sanchez will still throw his share of interceptions and tends to hang onto the ball a little too long, he should also have no trouble throwing touchdowns with all of the weapons the Eagles have. In the three quarters Sanchez played in relief of Foles, he threw for over 200 yards and a couple of scores. He could end up being a big help to fantasy owners heading down the stretch.

Mike Evans- Wide Receiver- Tampa Bay Buccaneers- If by any chance the rookie receiver is still on the waiver wire, he needs to be added immediately. In shallow leagues, it may be possible Mike Evans is still there. With week two being the only game this season where Evans received less than seven targets, he's been getting consistent targets all season and will be a force heading down the stretch towards the fantasy playoffs. As long as the targets remain steady, the Texas A&M rookie will be on quite a few fantasy championship rosters come late December.

Jeremy Hill- Running Back- Cinncinnati Bengals- Much like his fellow rookie Mike Evans, Hill is probably not on many waiver wires at this point but may be in shallower leagues. Also like Evans, if he is, scoop him up right now. With Giovanni Bernard looking more doubtful with each passing day due to multiple injuries and a short week with the Thursday game, Jeremy Hill will once again be a fantasy stud in week ten. As the starting tail back for the Bengals in week nine, Hill tore up the Jaguars defense to the tune of 28.3 fantasy points on 25 total touches. He's averaging almost ten fantasy points per game and as long as Bernard is out, Hill will be gold for fantasy owners.

Sleepers

Taylor Gabriel- Wide Receiver- Cleveland Browns- With the Browns suddenly surging, fantasy owners that may be looking for a wide out may want to take a look at Taylor Gabriel. The Browns receiver has six or more targets in four of the nine games this season and the steady dose of targets makes him a player to put on the watch list.

Kenny Britt- Wide Receiver- St. Louis Rams- While fantasy owners have every right to have little to no faith in Kenny Britt, it can't be denied that with the season ending injury to Brian Quick, Britt is now the number one receiver in St. Louis. The targets aren't there to warrant being a legitimate threat and he only has one double digit fantasy point game so far this season, but as the de facto go to wide out for the Rams, he's at least worth keeping an eye on for the time being.

Mychal Rivera- Tight End- Oakland Raiders- For fantasy owners that are in need of a tight end, take a look at Raiders tight end Mychal Rivera. He had 11 targets in week nine while posting eight catches for 38 yards and two scores on route to scoring double digit fantasy points. He also had nine targets the previous week and with few options in the passing game for the Raiders, Rivera could end up seeing consistent targets on a weekly basis.

Terrance West- Running Back- Cleveland Browns- Averaging over seven fantasy points per week as a rookie, and Ben Tate under performing, Terrance West is looking to push Tate for more touches as he saw two more snaps than Tate did in week nine. West also has four double digit fantasy points games this season and could end up leapfrogging Tate for the starting job sooner rather than later.

Jeepers

Devonta Freeman- Running Back- Atlanta Falcons- Even though Freeman did manage a touchdown in week eight, its still difficult for fantasy owners to trust any backs from the Atlanta backfield. Through nine weeks of the season, Freeman has yet to see more than 12 touches in any game and until he proves otherwise, fantasy owners would be wise to stay away from the Falcons backs.

Alfred Blue- Running Back- Houston Texans- With a bye week in week ten, it looks like Arian Foster won't miss any time with his groin injury. As long as Foster doesn't miss any time, Alfred Blue won't provide any fantasy value whatsoever. In his week three start in place of the injured Foster, he managed only 8.8 fantasy points.

Matt Asiata- Running Back- Minnesota Vikings- One would think that scoring six touchdowns in two games would make fantasy owners jump at the opportunity to own Asiata but being solely dependent on scoring touchdowns makes him incredibly difficult to trust on a weekly basis. Asiata does have three double digit fantasy points this season, but if he isn't scoring touchdowns, he isn't providing much fantasy value to owners.

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Nine

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

Week nine is a few hours away and that can only mean one thing to fantasy owners. Time to set those lineups. With the fantasy playoffs coming up quickly, there's no time to waste in making each week count and each lineup decision mean the most. Crunch time is drawing closer so get those lineups in now before the Panthers take on the Saints in an NFC South divisional matchup.

Quarterback

Fine- Colin Kaepernick- San Francisco 49ers- While Kaepernick hasn't been anything close to what fantasy owners were hoping for when he took over the starting job a couple of years ago, he should have no problems being a top quarterback in week nine when he faces the lowly Rams. Last time Kaepernick faced the Rams in week six, he scored almost 33 fantasy points. The Rams defense is allowing the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks and over 22 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs which could mean a good game through the air and on the ground this week for Kaepernick.

Pine- Mike Glennon- Tampa Bay Buccaneers- While some fantasy owners may not have much of a choice this week on playing Glennon due to the six teams on byes, it will not be a great matchup for him versus the Browns defense which is allowing only 17.1 fantasy points per game to the quarterback. It doesn't help that the Buccaneers offense has looked lost for most of the season and since Glennon took over the starting job in week three, has not scored more than 23 fantasy points in a game. Last week when Glennon faced a lowly Vikings defense, he managed under 14 fantasy points and cannot be trusted.

Wide Receiver

Fine- Kelvin Benjamin- Carolina Panthers- With the Thursday night games showing fantasy owners that points can be scored in droves and the Saints defense giving up the fourth most points to wide receivers at 44 points per game, Kelvin Benjamin should have himself a pretty nice week nine as the Panther host the Saints. As a rookie, Benjamin is averaging almost 11 fantasy points per week and has missed scoring double digit fantasy points only three games while starting all eight for the Panthers. With the Saints bleeding fantasy points to wide outs, Benjamin is a must start this week.

Pine- Michael Floyd- Arizona Cardinals- Earlier this season, Floyd looked ready to being on his way to becoming a top receiver both in the NFL and for fantasy owners. The last few weeks have been a disappointment though. Last week, Floyd gave fantasy owners a big old goose egg while only seeing four targets. The previous week he only saw three targets. This week he faces a Dallas secondary that is allowing the third least amount of fantasy points to opposing receivers. While it is possible for him to get back on track at any moment, the targets just haven't been there since Carson Palmer returned like fantasy owners thought they'd be.

Running Back

Fine- Ben Tate- Cleveland Browns- The week nine matchup for Tate looks good considering the Browns face a team in the Buccaneers that allow 27.6 fantasy points per game to the running back position and Tate is averaging close to 10 fantasy points per week himself. As long as Tate doesn't get vultured by Crowell or West for touchdowns, fantasy owners can expect a solid game from Ben Tate.

Pine- Tre Mason- St. Louis Rams- The 49ers are allowing the sixth least amount of fantasy points to running backs and Tre Mason is in a full blown running back by committee situation. Before last week, fantasy owners thought Mason was going to run away with the starting tail back job and then week eight made fantasy owners think again. Mason saw just eight touches in week eight and scored just over three fantasy points for his owners. As a matter of fact, thought to be dead Zac Stacy had just as many touches as the rookie with Benny Cunningham having five touches. The Rams look to be a mess on both sides of the ball and until that situation is cleared up, fantasy owners would be wise to stay away.

Tight End

Fine- Dwayne Allen- Indianapolis Colts- While it should go without saying at this point, Dwayne Allen is a reliable tight end that could be counted on each week. The Colts passing game is tops in fantasy and Allen himself has scored a touchdown in each of the last two games and has posted double digit fantasy points in two out of his last four games. He faces a defense this week in the New York Giants that allow almost 14 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends making Allen a top choice for this week.

Pine- Charles Clay- Miami Dolphins- Many fantasy owners thought Charles Clay would be a serviceable option at tight end this year but up until this point, it just hasn't worked out that way. He's only posted one double digit fantasy point game thus far and has not scored more than 3.5 fantasy points in a game before or after his double digit game in week seven. His opponent for week nine, the San Diego Chargers are allowing just over eight fantasy points per week to opposing tight ends so week nine doesn't look to be a breakout week for the Miami tight end.

D/ST

Fine- Kansas City Chiefs- It should be enough to say the Chiefs face the Jets in week nine with that being reason enough to start the Chiefs defense but let's get a little more in depth than that. The Chiefs are third best when it comes to defending against the quarterback at 15.5 fantasy points per week while the Jets are starting Michael Vick who hasn't started a game since week four of last season. While Vick may end up playing better than Geno Smith did last week versus the Bills, it still gives fantasy owners enough reason to believe that the Kansas City defense is going to be a top fantasy defense for week nine.

Pine- New England Patriots- Again, just the fact alone that the Patriots face the Broncos this week should be enough reason to bench the New England unit but we like to go a little more in depth here at The Fantasy Sports Brain so let's take a closer look. While the Patriots defense has been a top four defense when it comes to defending the pass, they aren't facing just another quarterback this week. While the Patriots are allowing just over 16 fantasy points per week to the quarterback, Peyton Manning is averaging 27.7 fantasy points per game himself and unless the Patriots can cause a couple of turnovers in this game (which is highly possible), it will be hard to start them this week against one of the best if not the best offense in the NFL.