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Thursday, November 27, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week 13

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

For most fantasy owners, week 13 marks the final week of the regular season and perhaps the final shot at the playoffs. Every decision is weighed just a little more heavily and every lineup move means a little more. With three games on Thanksgiving, there will be plenty for fantasy owners to be thankful for. While you sit back and eat your turkey and stuffing, get ready to march your team into the fantasy playoffs. And be thankful that The Fantasy Sports Brain has you covered.

Quarterback

Fine- Tony Romo- Dallas Cowboys- A Thanksgiving tradition every year, the Cowboys host the Eagles this year and this game promises to be a treat for fantasy owners. With Tony Romo averaging almost 22 fantasy points per game and the Eagles defense allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing signal callers, Romo is a must start in week 13. Romo has been one of the more consistent fantasy quarterbacks all season and has failed to score double digit fantasy points only three times this season.

Pine- Colin Kapernick- San Francisco 49ers- Fantasy owners need to be fed up with the 49ers signal caller at this point. Going on two seasons now, the 49ers offense has become far too conservative for Kaepernick to thrive for fantasy football purposes. Add to that, the 49ers play the Seattle Seahawks who happen to allow the least amount of fantasy points per week to opposing quarterbacks at 14.1. It also doesn't help Kaepernick's cause that the Seahawks have had his number since he was named the starter mid way through the 2012 season. Looking back to two years ago, Kaepernick has not scored 20 fantasy points versus the defending champions and was even held to negative fantasy points in week seven of the 2012 season. Fast forward to 2014, and Kaepernick has not posted a 20 point fantasy points game since week six versus the Rams. He's become too volatile of a fantasy player to trust on a weekly basis.

Wide Receiver

Fine- Justin Hunter- Tennessee Titans- Now that Zach Mettenberger has taken over the reigns in Tennessee, the offense moves a little bit better and Justin Hunter is back on fantasy radars. Hunter is coming off of a 12.4 fantasy points game in week 12 versus the Eagles and now gets a defense in the Texans that is allowing the most fantasy points per week to opposing wide outs. With his chemistry with Mettenberger growing and a bad Texans pass defense, fantasy owners can expect a good game from Justin Hunter this week.

Pine- DeSean Jackson- Washington Redskins- Maybe the quarterback change in Washington will get D-Jax rolling again but for now, it's difficult to trust him in your lineups. The last two weeks have not been kind to DeSean or his owners while he's scored 3.7 and 3.9 fantasy points respectively. With the playoffs a week away for some fantasy owners, there's no place for that kind of output from a receiver who was dominating the beginning of the season.

Running Back

Fine- Andre Ellington- Arizona Cardinals- While Ellington hasn't exactly been lighting up the fantasy world as of late, he has a very favorable matchup this week in the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are allowing over 30 fantasy points per week to opposing running backs and if Ellington can't get the job done this week, when can he get the job done? After a disappointing two weeks of 6.6 fantasy points and 6.3 fantasy points, owners can look for Ellington to get back on track versus a poor Falcons run defense in week 13.

Pine- Bishop Sankey- Tennessee Titans- With the Ravens allowing the second least amount of fantasy points to running backs, and Sankey averaging six fantasy points per game, this week doesn't look like a good week to start the rookie tailback. Sankey has only two double digit fantasy points games so far this season and facing a stingy Ravens run defense isn't going to help any.

Tight End

Fine- Jason Witten- Dallas Cowboys- Last time Witten faced the Eagles was week 17 of last season and he torched the defense for 12 catches for 135 yards while scoring over 13 fantasy points along the way. He's also scored nine or more fantasy points the last two weeks and figures to be involved in a Thanksgiving day shootout this time around. The Eagles also allow 9.5 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends so start Witten with confidence if you have him this week.

Pine- Tim Wright- New England Patriots- I'm not benching Tim Wright because he's a bad player. I'm benching him because this is Gronk's world and we're all just living in it. Wright had his chance to shine last week versus Detroit and he took the opportunity and ran with it. With a healthy Gronk in the mix, it's hard to count on Wright making much noise two games in a row. Week 12 saw Wright receive the second most targets he's seen all season with six and with the Packers allowing over 12 fantasy points per game to the tight end, fantasy owners can expect Gronk to get back on track for week 13.

D/ST

Fine- Indianapolis Colts- Facing the Redskins these days is a reason to start the opposing defense each and every week. The Redskins are a mess regardless of who's under center and the Colts defend against the quarterback pretty well allowing under 18 fantasy points per game.

Pine- Dallas Cowboys- While the Cowboys defense has been a top ten defensive unit all season, they do face a team in the Eagles who happen to score the third most points in the NFL this season at 31.1 points per game.  Most fantasy owners are expecting a shootout and plenty of points to be scored in this game. While both defenses have been more than useful for fantasy owners up until this point, it will be wise to sit both defenses this week and let the offenses do their things.

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week 13

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With the fantasy playoffs set to kick off for some leagues this week, owners will want to add a player or two to their rosters either for an upgrade or for depth. Seeing how we are in week 13 already, there won't be much too choose from but every week the waiver wire can provide fantasy owners with just enough to tweak their rosters. Good luck to all those fantasy owners starting their playoffs this week and if you need a few pickups before the Thanksgiving games kick off, continue reading. Keepers, Sleepers and Jeepers is here to help you win a championship.

Keepers

Josh McCown- Quarterback- Tampa Bay Buccaneers- While McCown may not be the fantasy stud this season that he was last season, fantasy owners in need of a quarterback could do worse than Josh McCown. He's averaging 19.5 fantasy points per game and seems to have great chemistry with rookie wide out Mike Evans. He's scored over 20 fantasy points in all but two games that he's played in. McCown can move the offense and that alone is worth a look if your roster can use depth at the quarterback position.

Dan Herron- Running Back- Indianapolis Colts- It appears that Trent Richardson is still the starter moving forward (for this week anyway) but Dan Herron got the start in week 12 and did not disappoint. He finished week 12 with just under 10 fantasy points and rushed for 65 yards on 12 carries as well as added another 31 yards through the air on five receptions. Herron will replace Bradshaw in the Colts pass heavy offense and that means a lot of targets will be coming his way. Even if T-Rich is the starter moving forward, there's no reason to shy away from Dan Herron. He will be a late season savior for fantasy owners in 2014.

LeGarrette Blount- Running Back- New England Patriots- With the weather getting nastier, the Patriots are smart enough to know they will need some semblance of a power run game. That's were Blount comes in. While Jonas Gray did everything right in week 11 by rushing for over 200 yards and four scores, Blount knows the offense well and Belichick could lean more towards a veteran come playoff time. As always, it's impossible to predict which Patriots running back will carry the load from week to week but for now, it looks like Blount is the man in New England. His week 12 line reads 78 yards and two touchdowns while scoring almost 20 fantasy points in the process.

Sleepers

Robert Woods- Wide Receiver- Buffalo Bills- A lot of fantasy owners have been waiting for Woods to break out this year and it just hasn't happened until week 12 versus the Jets. In the blowout win on Monday night, Woods caught nine passes for 118 yards and a score. It was only his third double digit fantasy points game this season and his performance may have had to do more with the Jets almost non existent pass defense and less to do with him. Either way, fantasy owners in need of receiver help or depth may want to keep an eye on Robert Woods.

Charles Johnson- Wide Receiver- Minnesota Vikings- The last two weeks Charles Johnson has been coming on strong. Week 11, Johnson had seven targets and week 12 he had 11 targets. It is a little concerning that of the 11 targets Johnson saw versus Green Bay, he only hauled in three but the production was there anyway. Johnson finished week 12 with over 11 fantasy points. With the number of targets increasing over the last two games, Johnson may be worth a pickup this late in the fantasy season.

Colt McCoy- Quarterback- Washington Redskins- With the news coming out before week 12 kicked off that Jay Gruden had the power to bench Robert Griffin III, combined with another poor performance from RG3 in week 12, it may be time for the Redskins to move on from the 2012 second overall pick. At least for this season. That would leave either Kurt Cousins or Colt McCoy to start under center. McCoy was the starter after Cousins was benched and before Robert Griffin III returned from his ankle injury. McCoy was completing over 85 percent of his passes and was averaging almost 17 fantasy points per game in the short amount of time he was playing. He may be worth a shot if your current quarterback isn't doing you any favors.

Tim Wright- Tight End- New England Patriots- Gronk took a backseat to Wright in week 12 while Wright had two touchdowns. He scored over 15 fantasy points in week 12 but fantasy owners shouldn't count on that type of production out of Wright moving forward. The Patriots are very game plan specific and with a healthy Gronk in the mix, it's hard to imagine Tim Wright being a deciding factor each week for fantasy owners.

Jeepers

Stedman Bailey- Wide Receiver- St. Louis Rams- Before the week 12 breakout game from Stedman Bailey, he was averaging just over three fantasy points per week and had a season high of three targets. Week 12 was more of a fluke game than anything. Stedman was targeted nine times and caught seven balls for 89 yards and a touchdown. He scored just under 15 fantasy points in week 12 and cannot be trusted to repeat that performance.

Ryan Fitzpatrick- Quarterback- Houston Texans- With Ryan Mallett out for the remainder of the season with a torn pectoral muscle, the Texans will most likely turn back to Ryan Fitzpatrick who in the first nine games of the season averaged 18 fantasy points per game. Completely desperate fantasy owners may have no choice but to take a shot on Fitzpatrick but other than that, he's better equipped to sit on your waiver wire.

Joseph Morgan- Wide Receiver- New Orleans Saints- In the two games Morgan saw action this season, he's seen four targets for one reception. Then comes week 12 and Morgan breaks out with 129 yards on just two touches. One of those touches was a 62 yard pass and the other was a 67 yard rush. With the Saints spreading the ball around each week, it will be extremely difficult for Joe Morgan to repeat his week 12 performance. He's not getting enough touches to warrant putting into a starting lienup.

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Twelve

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With only a few short weeks left in the 2014 fantasy football regular season, it's time for fantasy owners to really buckle down and make some popular or unpopular decisions in route to making the playoffs. Each roster decision made is magnified and scrutinized over and over. No fantasy owner can afford to make the wrong decision when it comes to which players to start and which players to sit. Welcome to the week 12 edition of "Fine or Pine".

Quarterback

Fine- Colin Kapernick- San Francisco 49ers- Let's face the facts if you're a Colin Kapernick owner. If you can't trust him this week versus the Redskins, you can't trust him at all. While fantasy owners haven't had much cause for starting  Kapernick this season, the week 12 matchup is as enticing as it will get for Kaepernick. The Washington defense is allowing over 20 fantasy points per game to opposing signal callers while Kapernick is averaging over 20 fantasy points per week. If the 49ers signal caller can't get the job done for fantasy owners this week, he's not worth having on your roster at all.

Pine- Eli Manning- New York Giants- While I highly doubt anyone will be willingly starting the Giants signal caller any time soon, there may be some instances where fantasy owners have no choice. Maybe the bye week has you short handed or you play in a two quarterback league, but starting Eli Manning is a wise decision. Coming off of a five interception game in week 11 versus the 49ers and throwing six interceptions to only two touchdowns in his last two games, Eli Manning has become a fantasy after thought. He's also been held under 20 fantasy points the last two weeks and a matchup with the Cowboys won't do him any favors as the Dallas defense has help opposing quarterback to under 20 fantasy points all season.

Wide Receiver

Fine- A.J. Green- Cincinnati Bengals- Of course you should start A.J. Green every week if you own him. You didn't need me to tell you that. What you may have needed me to tell you is Green faces an opponent this week in the Houston Texans that is now allowing the most fantasy points to the wide receiver at almost 45 points per game. Even more in his favor is that Green is averaging over 12 fantasy points per game and has only one game this season where he was helps to single digit fantasy points and that was his first game back from his toe injury. If you're an A.J. Green owner, get him into your starting lineup and watch the fantasy points roll in.

Pine- Julio Jones- Atlanta Falcons- As obvious as I was with starting A.J. Green this week, I'm going to be bold with sitting the Falcons stud wide out Julio Jones for the simple reason of the production just hasn't been there this year. For starters, Jones will have Joe Haden covering him this week and secondly, Julio Jones has one double digit fantasy points games since week five. You read that right. One double digit fantasy points game since week five. That just won't cut it this close to the fantasy playoffs.

Running Back

Fine- Isaiah Crowell- Cleveland Browns- The Browns rookie back has scored 10.1 and 9.1 respectively his last two outings and the Atlanta Falcons happen to be the worst run defense in fantasy football in 2014 allowing 30 fantasy points per week to the running back position. With Crowell set to handle a majority of the carries this week, how can fantasy owners not like him to finish a top player at his position?

Pine- Jonas Gray- New England Patriots- There is a very simple theory behind my sitting Jonas Gray a week after he rushed for over 200 yards and a Patriots record four touchdowns. There is no way he or any player can repeat that performance. While Gray is more than worth a stash on any type of format in fantasy football, any owners that are rostering him cannot and should not expect that kind of production on a week to week basis. It will still be difficult to predict what the Patriots will do from week to week and there is always a chance that Jonas Gray isn't a big part of the Patriots' game plan in week 12. He faces a touch Detroit run defense who are in the top ten when it comes to defending against the run.

Tight End

Fine- Coby Fleener- Indianapolis Colts- With Dwayne Allen looking more and more like a no go for week 12, fantasy owners need to get Coby Fleener into their starting lineups if for this week only. With a matchup versus the Jaguars on tap, Coby Fleener becomes a top fantasy tight end this week before he even plays a snap. The Jaguars tend to forget about the tight end while they are allowing over 13 fantasy points per game to the position. Even more appealing for fantasy owners is that Fleener is coming off of back to back double digit fantasy points game and last week versus the Patriots, when Allen went out with his ankle injury, Fleener stepped up to the tune of seven catches for 144 yards all on seven targets. TE one all the way in week 12.

Pine- Vernon Davis- San Francisco 49ers- Let's face facts here fantasy owners. Vernon Davis is dead to us. At least for the remainder of this season. With one game of double digit fantasy points (way back in week one), VD provides no fantasy value whatsoever at this point and Colin Kaepernick doesn't even look his way much either. With no more than six targets and four receptions on the year, fantasy owners can find more production on their waiver wire.

D/ST

Fine- San Francisco 49ers- The 49ers have popped up everywhere in this article this week. Maybe that's because the 49ers face the lowly Redskins and while the San Francisco defense isn't what it has been under Jim Harbaugh, they still have a great matchup this week. The Redskins are an offense under Robert Griffin III, that either will throw interceptions, or just hold onto the ball longer that advised. Fantasy owners can expect a couple of turnovers from the 49ers defense in this game while holding the Washington offense in check as well.

Pine- Detroit Lions- I realize the Lions defense has been one of the better fantasy defenses this season, but the Patriots offense has been that much better since the beating they took at the hands of the Chiefs back in week five. With Tom Brady averaging 23 fantasy points per game and Gronk averaging almost 13 fantasy points per game, the New England Patriots are a team fantasy owners need to sit the opposing defenses for.

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week Twelve

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With time winding down in the fantasy season, owners have to make moves right now that will impact their fantasy teams not only for the remainder of the season, but for the playoffs as well. With the bye weeks finally starting to calm down, owners still have to contend with injuries and starting players not performing up to their projections. The waiver wire can be a friendly place if you know what to look for. It can also be a cold and desolate place if you don't know what to look for. With week 12 a couple of days away, it's time for fantasy owners to visit their waiver wire once again and see what players can be of use heading into the final weeks of the regular season.

Keepers

Jonas Gray- Running Back- New England Patriots- With the cold weather here, teams will need to lean a little more on their ground game. With the cold weather in New England rapidly approaching, it appears the Patriots have found their power run game in Jonas Gray. Ever since Steven Ridley went down for the season, the Patriots seemed to rely heavily on Shane Vereen in the passing game as well as the run game. Week 11 changed all of that with the emergence of Jonas Gray and his 38 rushes for 199 yards and four touchdowns. Fantasy owners should not expect that type of game from Gray on a weekly basis but it is nice to know there's a running back this late in the season available on the waiver wire that can help fantasy owners heading into the cold weather games.

Coby Fleener- Tight End- Indianapolis Colts- With Dwayne Allen considered day to day, his fantasy owners need a contingency plan if he doesn't suit up for week 12. With a stellar matchup on tap versus the Jaguars, the best replacement for Allen is his teammate, Coby Fleener. Week 11 saw Fleener post seven catches for 144 yards and score double digit fantasy points for the second week in a row. Fleener is averaging almost seven fantasy points per game this season and has to be considered a top tight end if Dwayne Allen is a no go.

Isaiah Crowell- Running Back- Cleveland Browns- Now that Ben Tate has been released, it's all about Isaiah Crowell and Terrance West. While it may be difficult to trust either back on any given week, it appears the starting job is Crowell's to lose. He was the lead back in week 11 and posted his fourth double digit fantasy points game this season. Crowell is averaging almost eight fantasy points per game and has five scores on the season.

Zach Mettenberger- Quarterback- Tennessee Titans- Fantasy owners looking for a quarterback to get them through the rest of the season should look no further than the Titans rookie. Mettenberger is averaging 14.5 fantasy points per game since he took over the starting job four games ago and of those four games, has scored 20 or more fantasy points three times. Mettenberger may be the quarterback to bring some of the Titans receivers back to fantasy relevance.

Sleepers

Kenny Stills- Wide Receiver- New Orleans Saints- With the news that Brandin Cooks will miss significant time following hand surgery, second year wide out Kenny Stills moves up on the Saints depth chart. In nine games this season, Stills has 42 targets and 31 receptions for over 400 yards and a couple of touchdowns. He's averaging over six fantasy points per game and should see a nice uptick in targets and overall production with Cooks out for a while.

Juwan Thompson- Running Back- Denver Broncos- Even though Thompson is not the premiere back for the Broncos, he's only an injury or fumble away from being the top back in a Peyton Manning led offense. With Montee Ball re injuring his groin and Ronnie Hillman done for about a month, Juwan Thompson is second on the depth chart behind C.J. Anderson and could end up seeing more playing time should anything happen to Anderson. Week 11 was not kind to him seeing how he only had one catch for three yards and no carries at all but again, he's only a fumble or injury away from getting the starting job.

Cody Latimer- Wide Receiver- Denver Broncos- Right now Latimer sits at one target on the season (which he caught) for nine yards but with the decline of Wes Welker and the concussion to Emmanuel Sanders, Cody Latimer may see more playing time in the coming weeks. As fantasy owners know very well, any receiver in a Peyton Manning led offense can be a great fantasy asset. Especially down the stretch and heading into the playoffs.

Latavius Murray- Running Back- Oakland Raiders- I realize it may be difficult for fantasy owners to find any silver lining when it comes to adding Raiders players to their roster but with Maurice Jones- Drew and Darren McFadden not carrying their weight and the Raiders officially eliminated from the playoffs, it may be time for the Raiders to see what Latavius Murray can do for them. In the five games Murray played this season, he has 10 rushes for 54 yards. Running back starved fantasy owners will want to keep an eye on Murray for the stretch run and into the playoffs.

Chris Hogan- Wide Receiver- Buffalo Bills- Week 11 saw Chris Hogan lead all Bills wide outs in receiving. Hogan hauled in seven of his nine targets for 74 yards. Chris Hogan now has at least five catches in four of his last five games and could be a sneaky fantasy asset late in the season.

Jeepers

Andre Holmes- Wide Receiver- Oakland Raiders- While one Raiders player made the "sleepers" list, another makes the "Jeepers" list. Andre Holmes was a hot waiver wire add earlier in the season and has now become a player that may be better suited to stay on the waiver wire. Holmes has not scored double digit fantasy points since week eight and of his six targets in week 11, only managed to secure two of them. He's coming off of his second lowest scoring output of the season in week 11 and is becoming more difficult to trust each week.

Shaun Hill- Quarterback- St. Louis Rams- This is a case of Shaun Hill being a better NFL player than fantasy player. While Hill had a decent game versus the Broncos in week 11, it wasn't enough to help fantasy owners out very much seeing how he plays the very important position of quarterback. Hill passed for 220 yards and a touchdown but again, fantasy owners will need more from the quarterback position. Hill is a better option in two quarterback leagues than he is in a single quarterback league.

Saturday, November 15, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Eleven

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

With week 11 already here, it's time for fantasy owners to submit their lineups. With the fantasy playoffs looking fantasy owners in the eye, every week becomes more important than the last and each decision becomes more scrutinized. If you need help setting your lineups for the week, continue reading. If you don't need help, continue reading anyway for confirmation on your lineup decisions.

Quarterback

Fine- Tom Brady- New England Patriots- When the Patriots meet the Colts on Sunday night, there will be plenty of points to go around and Tom Brady has been on fire since the blowout in Kansas City. Since week five, Brady has scored more than 20 fantasy points per game since week five and is averaging over 23 fantasy points per game on the season. The Colts defense is allowing almost 19 fantasy points per game to the quarterback so Tom Brady should have no problem picking up where he left off before his bye.

Pine- Drew Stanton- Arizona Cardinals- Some fantasy owners may be in a position to start Stanton due to the Carson Palmer injury or bye week fill in but his week 11 matchup isn't favorable. The Cardinals face the Lions and the Detroit defense is allowing a fantasy best 13.1 fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. While Stanton has filled in admirably in the absence of Palmer this season, he hasn't been fantasy relevant. He's averaging just over 11 fantasy points per game and hasn't scored more than 8.6 fantasy points other than his only double digit fantasy points game in week three.

Running Back

Fine- Alfred Morris- Washington Redskins- With the return of Robert Griffin III, the Washington ground game should get a boost  this week especially facing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who allow over 26 fantasy points per game to the running back position. Alfred Morris is averaging 11.5 fantasy points per game and has scored double digit fantasy points in back to back games in week eight and nine and should have no problem posting another double digit fantasy point game this week against the Buccaneers.

Pine- Tre Mason- St. Louis Rams- The Denver Broncos defense is allowing the ninth least amount of fantasy points to the running back position and Tre Mason is only averaging 7.4 fantasy points per game and has not posted a double digit fantasy points game since week seven. Couple that with the fact the Rams are going to have to pass a lot to keep up with the Broncos offense and Mason isn't primed for a good fantasy game in week 11.

Wide Receiver


Fine- DeSean Jackson- Washington Redskins- It's time to once again to pick on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this week by making sure D-Jax is in your lineups.The Buccaneers are allowing the second most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers at 44.4. Jackson is averaging over 11 fantasy points per game and is coming off of back to back double digit fantasy points games in weeks eight and nine. He has too tempting of a matchup in week 11 to leave out of your starting lineups.

Pine- Michael Floyd- Arizona Cardinals- Until further notice, Floyd cannot be trusted to start each week. His matchup isn't going to do him any favors facing the Lions who are tied for allowing the least amount of fantasy points to opposing wide outs along with the Patriots. Floyd has not posted a double digit fantasy points game since week seven and since that game has scored zero fantasy points in week eight, 3.6 fantasy points in week nine and 1.1 fantasy points in week ten. He hasn't received more than five targets since week six and has all but completely fallen off of fantasy radars.

Tight End

Fine- Mychal Rivera- Oakland Raiders- Even though the Chargers are allowing the fourth least amount of fantasy points to opposing tight ends, Mychal Rivera has been on quite a roll with back to back double digit fantasy points games the last two weeks. Since week eight, Rivera has seen nine targets, eleven targets and eight targets. That many targets is bound to lead to fantasy production.

Pine- Vernon Davis- San Francisco 49ers- By averaging just over 4 fantasy points per game, fantasy owners can't trust VD to contribute too much to fantasy rosters this week or any week after. Davis hasn't seen more than six targets this season and that was back in week six. His opponent for the week, the New York Giants are in the top ten in defending the tight end. Fantasy owners better hope they have a better option in week 11 than Vernon Davis.

D/ST

Fine- Denver Broncos- With the Broncos facing the Rams this week, there's not much doubt that the Denver defense will be tops in fantasy. The Broncos defense is allowing 20 fantasy points to the opposing quarterback and the Rams are starting Shaun Hill over Austin Davis. The Broncos defense should feast on the Rams offense this Sunday.

Pine- Philadelphia Eagles- While the Eagles defense may have won fantasy owners their week last week, it will be difficult for fantasy owners to trust the Philadelphia defense in week eleven when they face Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. Rodgers is averaging 26.4 fantasy points per game and has scored over 20 fantasy points per week the last four games and at least 25 fantasy points in the last six games. The Eagles defense will have their work cut out for them this week.

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Keepers, Sleepers, and Jeepers: Week Eleven

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

Between injuries and bye weeks, fantasy owners are busy each and every week deciding which players to add to their rosters and which players aren't worth using valuable space on. It isn't always easy deciphering which players will make an impact. Some players are on the waiver wire for a reason while some are just waiting to be discovered. With the fantasy playoffs creeping closer and closer, fantasy owners need to make the right decisions on how to properly construct a roster heading into the playoffs. It's time to take a look at the players that will be talked about the most when your waiver wires run this week. Without further ado, I present to you Keepers, Sleepers and Jeepers for week eleven.

Keepers

Drew Stanton- Quarterback- Arizona Cardinals- With the devastating news about Carson Palmer this week, fantasy owners in need of a quarterback or Carson Palmer owners even may want to take a look at Palmer's real life backup Drew Stanton. In the three games Stanton started in place for Palmer this season, he went 2-1 with his only loss coming at Denver. In those three games,   Stanton threw for over 600 yards and three touchdowns to no interceptions. He averaged over 11 fantasy points per game and has the weapons around him to be successful for the rest of the season. Desperate fantasy owners or those looking for a bye week replacement can do worse.

Kyle Rudolph- Tight End- Minnesota Vikings- In the three games Rudolph played before his sports hernia surgery, he had 17 targets (just over five per game) and 10 receptions for 96 yards and a touchdown. He was averaging just over five fantasy points per game and will be a welcomed edition to both the Vikings and to fantasy owners. Finding a tight end to start with confidence every week isn't the easiest task so Kyle Rudolph will help to ease some of that burden.

Bishop Sankey- Running Back- Tennessee Titans- Earlier in the season, it looked like fantasy owners were wrong for selecting the rookie in the early rounds of fantasy drafts but now Sankey appears to be picking up some momentum just in time for the fantasy playoffs to get here. Sankey's workload has increased over the last few weeks and week ten was the second most carries and fantasy points he's notched this season. While the Titans offense has been anything but reliable this year, Bishop Sankey is beginning to emerge as a lead back heading down the stretch.

Cecil Shorts- Wide Receiver- Jacksonville Jaguars- With the news coming down today regarding Allen Robinson missing the remainder of the season, Cecil Shorts is the perfect pickup this week for fantasy owners in need of receiver help or if you just want some depth at the position. Shorts has always been a target hog and now without Allen Robinson for the rest of 2014, Shorts should see a healthy dose of targets from an offense that will have to throw a lot to keep pace. In seven games this season, Shorts has 61 targets and 33 receptions. He's averaging over six fantasy points per game and has two double digit fantasy points games this year. Shorts has seen only one week where he got less than seven targets and that was back in week four where he got only four targets. He will be a reliable fantasy wideout going forward being his targets will be there and that will lead to production.

Jordan Matthews- Wide Receiver- Philadelphia Eagles- It may have taken ten weeks but it's starting to look like the rookie receiver is ready for his close up. Fantasy owners were high on Matthews in drafts this summer but were forced to cut bait with him due to his lack of production and consistency. Week ten may have put all those doubts to rests when he broke out for seven catches for 138 yards and a couple of touchdowns on nine targets. He scored almost 26 fantasy points in week ten and tied his high for targets. It was Matthew's third double digit fantasy points game and his second consecutive. It looks like Jordan Matthews is ready to show fantasy owners what they saw in drafts this summer.

Sleepers

John Brown- Wide Receiver- Arizona Cardinals- With 57 targets and almost 400 yards and five scores under his belt, rookie wide out John Brown could be a reliable fantasy option moving forward. He has three double digit fantasy points games this season and week ten was the second most targets he's seen this year. Brown seemed to have a little more chemistry with Drew Stanton and that could mean big things for the rookie receiver the second half of the season.

C.J. Anderson- Running Back- Denver Broncos- Even though Anderson had a monster game in week ten with 163 total yards and a touchdown, fantasy owners can't forget the fact that Montee Ball is set to return to a more prominent role in week eleven and that could mean a dip in production for Anderson. With the week eleven matchup versus the Rams, if Anderson ends up being the lead back for the Broncos, expect another big game from the Denver tail back.

Damien Williams- Running Back- Miami Dolphins- Week ten showed fantasy owners that Lamar Miller isn't completely out of the picture with his separated AC joint but it did show us that he may not be healthy enough to carry the load for a little bit. Miller had only four carries in week ten to Williams' ten total touches. While Williams did not have a fantasy game for the ages, he did run for almost five yards per carry and could end up seeing more work if the injury to Lamar Miller ends up limiting him in the coming weeks.

Ryan Mallett- Quarterback- Houston Texans- Now that the Ryan Fitzpatrick experiment is over in Houston, it's time to see why the Texans traded a sixth round pick to the Patriots. While fantasy owners don't have much statistics to go on as far as Ryan Mallett is concerned, it is worth noting that Ryan Mallett is familiar with Bill O' Brien's offense from their days together in New England and could be the spark the Texans need to make a late season run. Fantasy owners in need of a quarterback may want to take a look at Mallett.

Jeepers

James Jones- Wide Receiver- Oakland Raiders- If you had James Jones in a PPR format in week ten, you probably didn't notice he didn't do much else but catch eight passes. Those eight passes totaled (drum roll please), 20 yards. Yes 20 yards. That is not a typo. James Jones cannot be trusted on a weekly basis as the same can be said about the Raiders as a team.

Bernard Pierce- Running Back- Baltimore Ravens- If there's a back to own in Baltimore, it isn't Pierce or Talaiferro. It's Justin Forsett. Pierce had a total of eight rushes for 31 yards and scored just over three fantasy points in week ten. Justin Forsett handled the workload for the Ravens offense and at this point, Pierce is merely a fantasy afterthought.

Saturday, November 8, 2014

Fine or Pine, Week Ten

By Adam Filadelfo (@FNTSYArchitect)

Week ten is officially here and that means it's time once again for fantasy owners to set their lineups. It isn't always easy to know which players to start and which players to sit. Especially this week with another six teams on their bye. Fantasy owners may be faced with the decision to start a player that they would never think of starting due to so many of the top fantasy players having the week off. The key is knowing which players will give you the best chance of coming out of this week with a victory. Without further ado, I present the week ten edition of Fine or Pine.

Quarterback

Fine- Matt Ryan- Atlanta Falcons- While it's true that Matty Ice has not lived up to the lofty expectations of fantasy owners this season, it cannot be denied that he has one of the better matchups in week ten. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are allowing the sixth most fantasy points to the opposing quarterback and Matt Ryan is due for a big game. After four straight sub 20 fantasy point games, Matt Ryan finally broke 20 fantasy points in week eight. Fantasy owners can start the Falcons signal caller with confidence this week versus a team that can't seem to stop a nose bleed.

Pine- Cam Newton- Carolina Panthers- My how the mighty have fallen. The last two seasons, Cam Newton has been a quarterback fantasy owners would feel confident trotting out there each week. This season is a completely different story. Newton is averaging under 20 fantasy points per game and has not scored 20 fantasy points since week six. What's even more alarming is the fact that Cam only has two rushing touchdowns on the season and has not thrown a touchdown pass since week seven versus the Packers. While he does have a good matchup this week versus the Eagles who happen to allow the third most fantasy points to the quarterback, it's too difficult to rely on Cam until he shows he is back to his old self.

Running Back

Fine- LeSean McCoy- Philadelphia Eagles- While it seemed like Shady was done the first few weeks of the season, he's turned it on over the last few weeks. McCoy may still be only averaging under ten fantasy points per game but he has posted double digit fantasy points in two of the last three games and faces a Carolina defense that is giving up the second most fantasy points to the running back this week. Fantasy owners will be very happy they own Shady McCoy in the second half of the season.

Pine- Chris Johnson- New York Jets- I will start off by saying Johnson has the matchup in his favor this week versus the Steelers who allow 23.3 fantasy points per game to the running back. Next I will say I don't trust Chris Johnson whatsoever. Week nine was Johnson's first double digit fantasy point game since week four. In the weeks between week four and week nine, Johnson has posted 2.2 fantasy points, 1.1 fantasy points, eight fantasy points and two fantasy points. There is no indication that Chris Johnson is turning the corner and should be trusted to be in a fantasy lineup.

Wide Receiver

Fine- Brandon Marshall- Chicago Bears- Brandon Marshall falls into the same category as LeSean McCoy for me. A slow first half and is ready to reward fantasy owners in the second half that stuck with them. With no double digit fantasy point games since week six, a lot of fantasy owners have become discouraged with a receiver who they could plug in for 100 receptions, 1,000 yards and double digit touchdowns every year. I think week ten is where Marshall starts to turn his misfortunes around and give his fantasy owners what they've been waiting for. The matchup versus Green Bay is a favorable one for Marshall as the Packers defense is allowing 34 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver.

Pine- Mike Wallace- Miami Dolphins- The last two games for Wallace have been nothing short of a letdown for his owners seeing how he scored  under six fantasy points the last two weeks in favorable matchups versus Jacksonville and San Diego. This week Wallace gets the Detroit Lions defense who happens to be the best when it comes to defending against the wide receiver as they are allowing a league best 27.7 fantasy points per game.

Tight End

Fine- Heath Miller- Pittsburgh Steelers- Big Ben has thrown an NFL record 12 touchdowns in the last two games and owning any part of the Steelers offense right now is exciting. Fantasy owners should expect that trend to continue this week versus the Jets. While it may be difficult for Big Ben to continue this torrid pace, it isn't far fetched to think Heath Miller can have a good game versus a Jets defense that bleeds fantasy points to the tight end as they are allowing the fourth most to the position at over 17 per game. The lack of targets to Miller could end up hurting him but against a defense that all but forgets about the tight end, Heath Miller should be a top tight end in week ten.

Pine- Vernon Davis- San Francisco 49ers- Take into account the fact the 49ers offense looks completely lost right now and Vernon Davis is averaging under five fantasy points per game and you have the recipe for a disaster if you have to start him this week. The matchup versus the Saints doesn't play into the favor of Vernon Davis as the Saints are allowing the second least amount of fantasy points to the position. What makes matters worse for Davis owners is the fact that the San Francisco tight end has only one double digit fantasy points game this season and that came all he way back in week one. He has failed to score four fantasy points in any game since week one.

Defense

Fine- Arizona Cardinals- The Cardinals are the best team in the NFL and are playing like it on both sides of the ball. While the schedule gets tougher in the coming weeks, they do have the Rams in week ten and fantasy owners can expect the Cardinals defense to come through at least one more week. In eight games played this season, the Arizona defense has 13 sacks and 12 interceptions. Lucky for them Austin Davis is the opposing signal caller this week and he's thrown three interceptions in his last two games and four picks in his last four games. Even though the Cardinals defense ranks middle of the pack for fantasy owners, there's no denying the matchup is definitely in the favor of the Cardinals this week.

Pine- Carolina Panthers- While the matchup may be a little tempting with Mark Sanchez under center for the Eagles for the foreseeable future, it will be difficult for fantasy owners to trust the Panthers defense at this point. They are allowing almost 20 fantasy points to the quarterback, almost 30 fantasy points to the running backs and almost 40 fantasy points to the wide receivers. The Eagles should have no issues at all moving the ball and scoring points in week ten versus the Panthers defense.