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Monday, February 27, 2017

Things I Think I Think (AL Edition)

Boston Red Sox:   I think it's strange that they are collecting amazing lefthanded SP's.  Shouldn't they be getting righties in Fenway?  Aren't you begging Matt Holliday to pepper the monster?  Mebbe not, cause those guys are awful good.  I just think sometimes.

New York Yankees:  I think Holliday is under-rated this year.  Bad BABIP luck last year.  He'll go for a .300 BA and 22-ish dingers.

Baltimore Orioles: I think Dylan Bundy was awesome for that first stretch last year and then sort of wore down.  I think he's going to be stronger this year and I think he's going to start throwing the cutter again.  Why does that matter?  It's only his best pitch, if you're into that sort of thing.

AL East:  I think the offenses for the Yankees, Red Sox, and Blue Jays are all over-rated.  Who do they have that really scares you?  Okay, Mookie Betts and Josh Donaldson are awesome.  Truth.  HanRam's pretty good too, but that lineup in Boston from top-to-bottom isn't really all that.  And the Yankees?  Is Didi Gregorius their best hitter?  (Okay, it's probably Gary Sanchez... but do we really know?)  And Toronto?  I think it looks really different without E5 and Bautista doing a bad impersonation of himself.  Seriously, look at these projected lineups.

Texas Rangers:  I think Yu Darvish will win the AL Cy Young Award.  He's going off the board at pick #40, so clearly he is still a highly valued SP but I don't think most people realize just how good he is.  Maybe his value is obscured a bit by missing a year and a half in 2015-16 or maybe it's his just pretty good 3.41 ERA and low quantitative stats in just 100.1 IP last year.  But listen, folks, Darvish is back.  In 2016 he posted an incredible 11.8 K/9, a 3.09 FIP, and a WHIP of 1.116... and I think he's even better and stronger this year.  What if he gets you 20 wins, a 3.00 ERA, a WHIP of 1.10, and 280 K's?  He's worth more than pick #40, that's what.

Seattle Mariners:  I think we'll get surprise production from their outfield.  Dyson as a full-timer?  60 SB's??

Tampa Bay Rays:  I think their staff is a little over-rated.  I got burned by Archer last year.  Odorizzi might be the value here with a strong WHIP.  Snell is like the anti-Odorizzi though... Can he limit the baserunners in his age 24 season?

Chicago White Sox:  I think we somehow get closer value from Nate Jones this year.  Maybe earlier than you think.  He's worth an endgame flyer on a deep squad.

Minnesota Twins:  I think Byron Buxton has shown us what he is.  He's the Matt Wieters of outfielders.  Move along, move along.

Cleveland Indians:  I think Michael Brantley is still only 30, has a career OPS+ of 113, led the league in doubles when he was last healthy, and is currently taking full-force BP.  Wait, I think those are all things that are actually facts.