I posted this over on www.fantasyknuckleheads.com yesterday morning around 10:30... I must be some kind of Nostradamus.
Okay, so I picked my deep sleeper a while back but it seems that I need a new one. It has become fashionable to get on the Greg
Olsen bandwagon lately. Just a couple of weeks ago he was going in the 14th
round of drafts, if he was drafted at all. Now? I've seen him go as
early as the 8th (eighth?!) round. What's up with that? I love
Olsen as a sleeper this year for lots of reasons, but I don't think he
can be my official 'deep' sleeper anymore.
By the way, before I
talk about why I simultaneously hate and love Stephen Hill, let me
explain the Olsen thing. Early in his career in Chicago he showed flashes of his
ability, but then he got Mike Martz as an offensive coordinator and Martz
doesn't feature the tight end. Last year he moved on to the Carolina Panthers with
new Offensive Coordinator Rob Chudzinski. Chudzinski was the OC at The University of Miami when Kellen
Winslow II was there, but more importantly he made a name for himself in
San Diego as the Tight Ends coach when Antonio Gates emerged. So, Olsen was in
Carolina for the first year last year but he had a rookie
quarterback and more importantly had to share targets with Jeremy Shockey. Cam Newton
is no longer a rookie (as if he played like one last year anyway) and Shockey
is gone. Plus, Newton doesn't really have a lot of weapons there other
than Steve Smith, who is another year older after his renaissance last
So, add all of that up and I think Olsen is a Top 10 tight end.
now to Stephen Hill. He wasn't drafted in hardly any leagues
this year. His ownership percentage is around 2%. If you look up his ADP, you don't find it. That qualifies
as deep sleeper.
Now then, I mentioned simultaneously loving and hating him. Yep. He's terrible. And, he's awesome.
a rookie, he's got two average QB's in a timeshare throwing to him, he
drops a lot of passes, he needs time to get up to speed, for all of his
size and strength he doesn't get off the line well, he's mostly a deep
threat so he isn't active underneath.
Okay, that's terrible. Nevertheless, he wouldn't be a deep sleeper if there weren't a lot of reasons to dislike him.
average quarterbacks need to get their average statistics somewhere.
And, I ask you, who is going to catch balls for the Jets? I predict that this dude will be
their top target because, frankly, he has to be. He's 6'4" and runs a 4.36 (with rumors of a 4.28!).
Last year in college he averaged almost 30 yards a catch.
typical line this year will be something like 3 for 70 and a touchdown.
Something like that. I'll take it for an undrafted pickup... And,
heck, maybe he's got even more. Maybe he's Braylon Edwards, maybe he's
Demaryius Thomas, maybe he's Arrelius Benn.
One of those, but that's
why he's a deeeeeep sleeper.